Virginia's 8th congressional district remains a solidly Democratic seat covering Arlington, Alexandria, Falls Church, and parts of eastern Fairfax County, where recent presidential results have shown consistent double-digit Democratic margins. Incumbent Don Beyer secured his party's nomination in the August 2026 primary with roughly 68 percent of the vote and holds a substantial fundraising edge over Republican nominee Tony Sabio, a former military, Secret Service, and CIA officer. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting the district's partisan baseline and Beyer's repeated general-election victories exceeding 70 percent in prior cycles. Trader consensus aligns with these fundamentals, though an unusually large national swing, major candidate-specific development, or turnout anomaly in the final weeks before the November 3 election could still narrow the gap.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre des représentants VA-08
Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre des représentants VA-08
$40,473 Vol.
$40,473 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Don Beyer (D)
96%
Tony Sabio (R)
2%
$40,473 Vol.
$40,473 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Don Beyer (D)
$12,714 Vol.
96%
Tony Sabio (R)
$27,758 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Virginia's 8th congressional district remains a solidly Democratic seat covering Arlington, Alexandria, Falls Church, and parts of eastern Fairfax County, where recent presidential results have shown consistent double-digit Democratic margins. Incumbent Don Beyer secured his party's nomination in the August 2026 primary with roughly 68 percent of the vote and holds a substantial fundraising edge over Republican nominee Tony Sabio, a former military, Secret Service, and CIA officer. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting the district's partisan baseline and Beyer's repeated general-election victories exceeding 70 percent in prior cycles. Trader consensus aligns with these fundamentals, though an unusually large national swing, major candidate-specific development, or turnout anomaly in the final weeks before the November 3 election could still narrow the gap.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$40,473Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Virginia's 8th congressional district remains a solidly Democratic seat covering Arlington, Alexandria, Falls Church, and parts of eastern Fairfax County, where recent presidential results have shown consistent double-digit Democratic margins. Incumbent Don Beyer secured his party's nomination in the August 2026 primary with roughly 68 percent of the vote and holds a substantial fundraising edge over Republican nominee Tony Sabio, a former military, Secret Service, and CIA officer. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting the district's partisan baseline and Beyer's repeated general-election victories exceeding 70 percent in prior cycles. Trader consensus aligns with these fundamentals, though an unusually large national swing, major candidate-specific development, or turnout anomaly in the final weeks before the November 3 election could still narrow the gap.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$40,473Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...Virginia's 8th congressional district remains a solidly Democratic seat covering Arlington, Alexandria, Falls Church, and parts of eastern Fairfax County, where recent presidential results have shown consistent double-digit Democratic margins. Incumbent Don Beyer secured his party's nomination in the August 2026 primary with roughly 68 percent of the vote and holds a substantial fundraising edge over Republican nominee Tony Sabio, a former military, Secret Service, and CIA officer. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting the district's partisan baseline and Beyer's repeated general-election victories exceeding 70 percent in prior cycles. Trader consensus aligns with these fundamentals, though an unusually large national swing, major candidate-specific development, or turnout anomaly in the final weeks before the November 3 election could still narrow the gap.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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