Trader consensus assigns the Democratic Party a 72% implied probability of winning Colorado’s 8th congressional district in the 2026 midterm elections, driven by the seat’s swing-district character and historical patterns favoring the opposition party during presidential midterms. The Republican incumbent operates in an environment where national political headwinds, district demographics, and voter turnout models typically narrow margins for the president’s party. Primary outcomes, early fundraising disclosures, and candidate recruitment have so far reinforced this positioning without introducing major disruptions. Scheduled events such as candidate debates or additional polling releases within the coming months remain the primary variables that could adjust these probabilities before November voting.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourCO-08 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
CO-08 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
$13,116 Vol.
$13,116 Vol.
4 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
72%
Parti républicain
26%
$13,116 Vol.
$13,116 Vol.
4 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
$6,995 Vol.
72%
Parti républicain
$6,121 Vol.
26%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus assigns the Democratic Party a 72% implied probability of winning Colorado’s 8th congressional district in the 2026 midterm elections, driven by the seat’s swing-district character and historical patterns favoring the opposition party during presidential midterms. The Republican incumbent operates in an environment where national political headwinds, district demographics, and voter turnout models typically narrow margins for the president’s party. Primary outcomes, early fundraising disclosures, and candidate recruitment have so far reinforced this positioning without introducing major disruptions. Scheduled events such as candidate debates or additional polling releases within the coming months remain the primary variables that could adjust these probabilities before November voting.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Dec 16, 2025, 11:47 AM ET
Volume
$13,116Date de fin
4 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 16, 2025, 11:47 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus assigns the Democratic Party a 72% implied probability of winning Colorado’s 8th congressional district in the 2026 midterm elections, driven by the seat’s swing-district character and historical patterns favoring the opposition party during presidential midterms. The Republican incumbent operates in an environment where national political headwinds, district demographics, and voter turnout models typically narrow margins for the president’s party. Primary outcomes, early fundraising disclosures, and candidate recruitment have so far reinforced this positioning without introducing major disruptions. Scheduled events such as candidate debates or additional polling releases within the coming months remain the primary variables that could adjust these probabilities before November voting.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$13,116Date de fin
4 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 16, 2025, 11:47 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus assigns the Democratic Party a 72% implied probability of winning Colorado’s 8th congressional district in the 2026 midterm elections, driven by the seat’s swing-district character and historical patterns favoring the opposition party during presidential midterms. The Republican incumbent operates in an environment where national political headwinds, district demographics, and voter turnout models typically narrow margins for the president’s party. Primary outcomes, early fundraising disclosures, and candidate recruitment have so far reinforced this positioning without introducing major disruptions. Scheduled events such as candidate debates or additional polling releases within the coming months remain the primary variables that could adjust these probabilities before November voting.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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