The CO-08 race centers on Republican incumbent Gabe Evans, who narrowly flipped the competitive northern Front Range district from Democratic control in 2024. Traders assign Democrats a 75% implied probability of reclaiming the seat in November 2026 due to its swing-district profile, even partisan voting index near zero, and status as a top Democratic target in the midterm cycle. The Democratic primary on June 30 between state Reps. Shannon Bird and Manny Rutinel remains closely contested, with recent internal polling showing margins under 3 points and debate focus on immigration enforcement and state legislative records. Evans faces no primary opposition, but the seat's history of narrow margins and ongoing candidate recruitment dynamics continue to shape positioning ahead of the general election.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourCO-08 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
CO-08 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
4 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
76%
Parti républicain
25%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
4 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
$897 Vol.
76%
Parti républicain
$733 Vol.
25%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The CO-08 race centers on Republican incumbent Gabe Evans, who narrowly flipped the competitive northern Front Range district from Democratic control in 2024. Traders assign Democrats a 75% implied probability of reclaiming the seat in November 2026 due to its swing-district profile, even partisan voting index near zero, and status as a top Democratic target in the midterm cycle. The Democratic primary on June 30 between state Reps. Shannon Bird and Manny Rutinel remains closely contested, with recent internal polling showing margins under 3 points and debate focus on immigration enforcement and state legislative records. Evans faces no primary opposition, but the seat's history of narrow margins and ongoing candidate recruitment dynamics continue to shape positioning ahead of the general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Dec 16, 2025, 11:47 AM ET
Volume
$1,631Date de fin
4 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 16, 2025, 11:47 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The CO-08 race centers on Republican incumbent Gabe Evans, who narrowly flipped the competitive northern Front Range district from Democratic control in 2024. Traders assign Democrats a 75% implied probability of reclaiming the seat in November 2026 due to its swing-district profile, even partisan voting index near zero, and status as a top Democratic target in the midterm cycle. The Democratic primary on June 30 between state Reps. Shannon Bird and Manny Rutinel remains closely contested, with recent internal polling showing margins under 3 points and debate focus on immigration enforcement and state legislative records. Evans faces no primary opposition, but the seat's history of narrow margins and ongoing candidate recruitment dynamics continue to shape positioning ahead of the general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$1,631Date de fin
4 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 16, 2025, 11:47 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The CO-08 race centers on Republican incumbent Gabe Evans, who narrowly flipped the competitive northern Front Range district from Democratic control in 2024. Traders assign Democrats a 75% implied probability of reclaiming the seat in November 2026 due to its swing-district profile, even partisan voting index near zero, and status as a top Democratic target in the midterm cycle. The Democratic primary on June 30 between state Reps. Shannon Bird and Manny Rutinel remains closely contested, with recent internal polling showing margins under 3 points and debate focus on immigration enforcement and state legislative records. Evans faces no primary opposition, but the seat's history of narrow margins and ongoing candidate recruitment dynamics continue to shape positioning ahead of the general election.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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