Redistricting by Louisiana's Republican-led legislature, finalized after the Supreme Court ruling in Louisiana v. Callais, fundamentally altered the 6th district's boundaries to favor Republican performance, shifting it from a majority-Black configuration to one where registered Republicans outnumber Democrats and Donald Trump carried the area with roughly 65% in 2024. Incumbent Democratic Representative Cleo Fields withdrew rather than run under the new lines, leaving an open seat rated Solid or Safe Republican by Cook, Sabato's Crystal Ball, Inside Elections, and Decision Desk HQ. Multiple Republican state senators, including Rick Edmonds and Blake Miguez, have consolidated party support in a crowded primary field ahead of the November 3 open primary and potential December runoff. Trader consensus at 94% Republican reflects these structural advantages, though outcomes could shift if court challenges to the map succeed, Democratic candidates consolidate unexpectedly, or major scandals or turnout surges alter the race.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLA-06 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
LA-06 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
$70,704 Vol.
$70,704 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
94%
Parti démocrate
6%
$70,704 Vol.
$70,704 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
$39,536 Vol.
94%
Parti démocrate
$31,168 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting by Louisiana's Republican-led legislature, finalized after the Supreme Court ruling in Louisiana v. Callais, fundamentally altered the 6th district's boundaries to favor Republican performance, shifting it from a majority-Black configuration to one where registered Republicans outnumber Democrats and Donald Trump carried the area with roughly 65% in 2024. Incumbent Democratic Representative Cleo Fields withdrew rather than run under the new lines, leaving an open seat rated Solid or Safe Republican by Cook, Sabato's Crystal Ball, Inside Elections, and Decision Desk HQ. Multiple Republican state senators, including Rick Edmonds and Blake Miguez, have consolidated party support in a crowded primary field ahead of the November 3 open primary and potential December runoff. Trader consensus at 94% Republican reflects these structural advantages, though outcomes could shift if court challenges to the map succeed, Democratic candidates consolidate unexpectedly, or major scandals or turnout surges alter the race.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$70,704Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting by Louisiana's Republican-led legislature, finalized after the Supreme Court ruling in Louisiana v. Callais, fundamentally altered the 6th district's boundaries to favor Republican performance, shifting it from a majority-Black configuration to one where registered Republicans outnumber Democrats and Donald Trump carried the area with roughly 65% in 2024. Incumbent Democratic Representative Cleo Fields withdrew rather than run under the new lines, leaving an open seat rated Solid or Safe Republican by Cook, Sabato's Crystal Ball, Inside Elections, and Decision Desk HQ. Multiple Republican state senators, including Rick Edmonds and Blake Miguez, have consolidated party support in a crowded primary field ahead of the November 3 open primary and potential December runoff. Trader consensus at 94% Republican reflects these structural advantages, though outcomes could shift if court challenges to the map succeed, Democratic candidates consolidate unexpectedly, or major scandals or turnout surges alter the race.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$70,704Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...Redistricting by Louisiana's Republican-led legislature, finalized after the Supreme Court ruling in Louisiana v. Callais, fundamentally altered the 6th district's boundaries to favor Republican performance, shifting it from a majority-Black configuration to one where registered Republicans outnumber Democrats and Donald Trump carried the area with roughly 65% in 2024. Incumbent Democratic Representative Cleo Fields withdrew rather than run under the new lines, leaving an open seat rated Solid or Safe Republican by Cook, Sabato's Crystal Ball, Inside Elections, and Decision Desk HQ. Multiple Republican state senators, including Rick Edmonds and Blake Miguez, have consolidated party support in a crowded primary field ahead of the November 3 open primary and potential December runoff. Trader consensus at 94% Republican reflects these structural advantages, though outcomes could shift if court challenges to the map succeed, Democratic candidates consolidate unexpectedly, or major scandals or turnout surges alter the race.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes