Louisiana’s 6th congressional district enters the 2026 cycle under a newly redrawn map approved by the state Senate in May 2026 and advanced by Governor Jeff Landry, which reduces the number of majority-Black districts statewide and shifts LA-06 toward a more Republican-leaning electorate. Incumbent Democrat Cleo Fields, who captured the seat in 2024 under prior court-ordered lines, now faces multiple Republican challengers in the November 3 open primary. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report have moved the race to Solid Republican, reflecting the altered partisan voter index and historical performance in the revised boundaries. Traders assign an 85% implied probability to a Republican winner, consistent with the district’s structural shift and limited recent polling showing competitive but Republican-favored dynamics in a jungle-primary format that could produce an early majority or a December runoff.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLA-06 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
LA-06 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
$59,486 Vol.
$59,486 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
85%
Parti démocrate
13%
$59,486 Vol.
$59,486 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
$31,733 Vol.
85%
Parti démocrate
$27,753 Vol.
13%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Louisiana’s 6th congressional district enters the 2026 cycle under a newly redrawn map approved by the state Senate in May 2026 and advanced by Governor Jeff Landry, which reduces the number of majority-Black districts statewide and shifts LA-06 toward a more Republican-leaning electorate. Incumbent Democrat Cleo Fields, who captured the seat in 2024 under prior court-ordered lines, now faces multiple Republican challengers in the November 3 open primary. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report have moved the race to Solid Republican, reflecting the altered partisan voter index and historical performance in the revised boundaries. Traders assign an 85% implied probability to a Republican winner, consistent with the district’s structural shift and limited recent polling showing competitive but Republican-favored dynamics in a jungle-primary format that could produce an early majority or a December runoff.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$59,486Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Louisiana’s 6th congressional district enters the 2026 cycle under a newly redrawn map approved by the state Senate in May 2026 and advanced by Governor Jeff Landry, which reduces the number of majority-Black districts statewide and shifts LA-06 toward a more Republican-leaning electorate. Incumbent Democrat Cleo Fields, who captured the seat in 2024 under prior court-ordered lines, now faces multiple Republican challengers in the November 3 open primary. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report have moved the race to Solid Republican, reflecting the altered partisan voter index and historical performance in the revised boundaries. Traders assign an 85% implied probability to a Republican winner, consistent with the district’s structural shift and limited recent polling showing competitive but Republican-favored dynamics in a jungle-primary format that could produce an early majority or a December runoff.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$59,486Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Louisiana’s 6th congressional district enters the 2026 cycle under a newly redrawn map approved by the state Senate in May 2026 and advanced by Governor Jeff Landry, which reduces the number of majority-Black districts statewide and shifts LA-06 toward a more Republican-leaning electorate. Incumbent Democrat Cleo Fields, who captured the seat in 2024 under prior court-ordered lines, now faces multiple Republican challengers in the November 3 open primary. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report have moved the race to Solid Republican, reflecting the altered partisan voter index and historical performance in the revised boundaries. Traders assign an 85% implied probability to a Republican winner, consistent with the district’s structural shift and limited recent polling showing competitive but Republican-favored dynamics in a jungle-primary format that could produce an early majority or a December runoff.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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