North Carolina’s 4th congressional district remains a strongly Democratic seat anchored by Durham and Orange counties plus portions of Chatham and Wake. Incumbent Valerie Foushee, who captured 71.9 percent in 2024, secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary despite a narrow contest with progressive challenger Nida Allam. The Republican nominee, Mahesh Ganorkar, faces the same structural headwinds that have kept the seat out of reach for the party in recent cycles. With the general election three months away, traders assign overwhelming probability to continued Democratic control, consistent with historical voting patterns and the absence of any major late-cycle developments capable of narrowing the gap. A national Republican surge or unforeseen candidate-specific event would be required to alter the outcome.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourNC-04 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
NC-04 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
$24,618 Vol.
$24,618 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
94%
Parti républicain
7%
$24,618 Vol.
$24,618 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
$13,868 Vol.
94%
Parti républicain
$10,750 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).North Carolina’s 4th congressional district remains a strongly Democratic seat anchored by Durham and Orange counties plus portions of Chatham and Wake. Incumbent Valerie Foushee, who captured 71.9 percent in 2024, secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary despite a narrow contest with progressive challenger Nida Allam. The Republican nominee, Mahesh Ganorkar, faces the same structural headwinds that have kept the seat out of reach for the party in recent cycles. With the general election three months away, traders assign overwhelming probability to continued Democratic control, consistent with historical voting patterns and the absence of any major late-cycle developments capable of narrowing the gap. A national Republican surge or unforeseen candidate-specific event would be required to alter the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volume
$24,618Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).North Carolina’s 4th congressional district remains a strongly Democratic seat anchored by Durham and Orange counties plus portions of Chatham and Wake. Incumbent Valerie Foushee, who captured 71.9 percent in 2024, secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary despite a narrow contest with progressive challenger Nida Allam. The Republican nominee, Mahesh Ganorkar, faces the same structural headwinds that have kept the seat out of reach for the party in recent cycles. With the general election three months away, traders assign overwhelming probability to continued Democratic control, consistent with historical voting patterns and the absence of any major late-cycle developments capable of narrowing the gap. A national Republican surge or unforeseen candidate-specific event would be required to alter the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$24,618Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...North Carolina’s 4th congressional district remains a strongly Democratic seat anchored by Durham and Orange counties plus portions of Chatham and Wake. Incumbent Valerie Foushee, who captured 71.9 percent in 2024, secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary despite a narrow contest with progressive challenger Nida Allam. The Republican nominee, Mahesh Ganorkar, faces the same structural headwinds that have kept the seat out of reach for the party in recent cycles. With the general election three months away, traders assign overwhelming probability to continued Democratic control, consistent with historical voting patterns and the absence of any major late-cycle developments capable of narrowing the gap. A national Republican surge or unforeseen candidate-specific event would be required to alter the outcome.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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