South Carolina’s 4th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+11, anchored in the upstate region around Greenville and Spartanburg. Incumbent Republican William Timmons secured the party nomination in the June 9 primary with roughly 66 percent of the vote, defeating two challengers and advancing to the November 3 general election against Democratic nominee Courtney McClain. The district’s consistent partisan lean, combined with the absence of competitive polling or major campaign developments that would favor Democrats, underpins the current trader consensus reflected in the elevated Republican probability. No scheduled events or filings before the general election appear positioned to alter this dynamic.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourSC-04 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
SC-04 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
$12,526 Vol.
$12,526 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
88%
Parti démocrate
11%
$12,526 Vol.
$12,526 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
$10,244 Vol.
88%
Parti démocrate
$2,282 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).South Carolina’s 4th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+11, anchored in the upstate region around Greenville and Spartanburg. Incumbent Republican William Timmons secured the party nomination in the June 9 primary with roughly 66 percent of the vote, defeating two challengers and advancing to the November 3 general election against Democratic nominee Courtney McClain. The district’s consistent partisan lean, combined with the absence of competitive polling or major campaign developments that would favor Democrats, underpins the current trader consensus reflected in the elevated Republican probability. No scheduled events or filings before the general election appear positioned to alter this dynamic.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$12,526Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).South Carolina’s 4th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+11, anchored in the upstate region around Greenville and Spartanburg. Incumbent Republican William Timmons secured the party nomination in the June 9 primary with roughly 66 percent of the vote, defeating two challengers and advancing to the November 3 general election against Democratic nominee Courtney McClain. The district’s consistent partisan lean, combined with the absence of competitive polling or major campaign developments that would favor Democrats, underpins the current trader consensus reflected in the elevated Republican probability. No scheduled events or filings before the general election appear positioned to alter this dynamic.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$12,526Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...South Carolina’s 4th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+11, anchored in the upstate region around Greenville and Spartanburg. Incumbent Republican William Timmons secured the party nomination in the June 9 primary with roughly 66 percent of the vote, defeating two challengers and advancing to the November 3 general election against Democratic nominee Courtney McClain. The district’s consistent partisan lean, combined with the absence of competitive polling or major campaign developments that would favor Democrats, underpins the current trader consensus reflected in the elevated Republican probability. No scheduled events or filings before the general election appear positioned to alter this dynamic.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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