South Carolina's 4th congressional district carries an R+11 Partisan Voter Index and has been held by Republicans for decades, with incumbent William Timmons securing the GOP nomination in the June 9, 2026 primary by capturing nearly two-thirds of the vote. Nonpartisan analysts rate the seat Solid Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. Democrat Courtney McClain, who advanced unopposed in her primary, faces a structurally difficult path in a district that consistently favors Republican candidates by double-digit margins. Recent primary results and longstanding voting patterns underpin trader consensus that the Republican nominee holds a strong advantage, though the general election outcome remains subject to standard campaign variables and turnout.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourSC-04 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
SC-04 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
$12,526 Vol.
$12,526 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
88%
Parti démocrate
11%
$12,526 Vol.
$12,526 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
$10,244 Vol.
88%
Parti démocrate
$2,282 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).South Carolina's 4th congressional district carries an R+11 Partisan Voter Index and has been held by Republicans for decades, with incumbent William Timmons securing the GOP nomination in the June 9, 2026 primary by capturing nearly two-thirds of the vote. Nonpartisan analysts rate the seat Solid Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. Democrat Courtney McClain, who advanced unopposed in her primary, faces a structurally difficult path in a district that consistently favors Republican candidates by double-digit margins. Recent primary results and longstanding voting patterns underpin trader consensus that the Republican nominee holds a strong advantage, though the general election outcome remains subject to standard campaign variables and turnout.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$12,526Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).South Carolina's 4th congressional district carries an R+11 Partisan Voter Index and has been held by Republicans for decades, with incumbent William Timmons securing the GOP nomination in the June 9, 2026 primary by capturing nearly two-thirds of the vote. Nonpartisan analysts rate the seat Solid Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. Democrat Courtney McClain, who advanced unopposed in her primary, faces a structurally difficult path in a district that consistently favors Republican candidates by double-digit margins. Recent primary results and longstanding voting patterns underpin trader consensus that the Republican nominee holds a strong advantage, though the general election outcome remains subject to standard campaign variables and turnout.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$12,526Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...South Carolina's 4th congressional district carries an R+11 Partisan Voter Index and has been held by Republicans for decades, with incumbent William Timmons securing the GOP nomination in the June 9, 2026 primary by capturing nearly two-thirds of the vote. Nonpartisan analysts rate the seat Solid Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. Democrat Courtney McClain, who advanced unopposed in her primary, faces a structurally difficult path in a district that consistently favors Republican candidates by double-digit margins. Recent primary results and longstanding voting patterns underpin trader consensus that the Republican nominee holds a strong advantage, though the general election outcome remains subject to standard campaign variables and turnout.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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