Florida's 16th congressional district carries an R+7 partisan voter index and enters the 2026 cycle as an open seat after the retirement of longtime Republican incumbent Vern Buchanan. Nonpartisan rating firms classify the race as Solid or Likely Republican, reflecting the district's consistent support for GOP candidates in recent presidential and House contests. Multiple candidates are competing in the August 18 Republican and Democratic primaries ahead of the November general election, with the eventual Republican nominee viewed by traders as the strong favorite due to structural advantages. No significant late developments have altered the baseline assessment of the seat's competitiveness.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre FL-16
$17,590 Vol.
$17,590 Vol.
Parti républicain
69%
Parti démocrate
25%
$17,590 Vol.
$17,590 Vol.
Parti républicain
69%
Parti démocrate
25%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 16th congressional district carries an R+7 partisan voter index and enters the 2026 cycle as an open seat after the retirement of longtime Republican incumbent Vern Buchanan. Nonpartisan rating firms classify the race as Solid or Likely Republican, reflecting the district's consistent support for GOP candidates in recent presidential and House contests. Multiple candidates are competing in the August 18 Republican and Democratic primaries ahead of the November general election, with the eventual Republican nominee viewed by traders as the strong favorite due to structural advantages. No significant late developments have altered the baseline assessment of the seat's competitiveness.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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