Sydney Gruters secured the Republican nomination in August 2026 with a decisive primary victory backed by President Trump and substantial outside support, positioning her as the clear frontrunner in the open FL-16 seat following Vern Buchanan’s retirement. The district’s mid-decade redistricting and underlying Republican lean—evident in prior voting patterns—have reinforced trader expectations of a GOP hold. Kelly Kirschner won the Democratic primary but faces structural headwinds despite targeted fundraising and one recent poll showing a narrow lead; broader forecasting models rate the race as likely or solid Republican. The November 3 general election timeline and absence of major late-breaking shifts continue to anchor market pricing around these probabilities.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre FL-16
Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre FL-16
$25,926 Vol.
$25,926 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Sydney Gruters (R)
83%
Kelly Kirschner (D)
16%
$25,926 Vol.
$25,926 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Sydney Gruters (R)
$9,937 Vol.
83%
Kelly Kirschner (D)
$15,989 Vol.
16%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Sydney Gruters secured the Republican nomination in August 2026 with a decisive primary victory backed by President Trump and substantial outside support, positioning her as the clear frontrunner in the open FL-16 seat following Vern Buchanan’s retirement. The district’s mid-decade redistricting and underlying Republican lean—evident in prior voting patterns—have reinforced trader expectations of a GOP hold. Kelly Kirschner won the Democratic primary but faces structural headwinds despite targeted fundraising and one recent poll showing a narrow lead; broader forecasting models rate the race as likely or solid Republican. The November 3 general election timeline and absence of major late-breaking shifts continue to anchor market pricing around these probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ET
Volume
$25,926Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Sydney Gruters secured the Republican nomination in August 2026 with a decisive primary victory backed by President Trump and substantial outside support, positioning her as the clear frontrunner in the open FL-16 seat following Vern Buchanan’s retirement. The district’s mid-decade redistricting and underlying Republican lean—evident in prior voting patterns—have reinforced trader expectations of a GOP hold. Kelly Kirschner won the Democratic primary but faces structural headwinds despite targeted fundraising and one recent poll showing a narrow lead; broader forecasting models rate the race as likely or solid Republican. The November 3 general election timeline and absence of major late-breaking shifts continue to anchor market pricing around these probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$25,926Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...Sydney Gruters secured the Republican nomination in August 2026 with a decisive primary victory backed by President Trump and substantial outside support, positioning her as the clear frontrunner in the open FL-16 seat following Vern Buchanan’s retirement. The district’s mid-decade redistricting and underlying Republican lean—evident in prior voting patterns—have reinforced trader expectations of a GOP hold. Kelly Kirschner won the Democratic primary but faces structural headwinds despite targeted fundraising and one recent poll showing a narrow lead; broader forecasting models rate the race as likely or solid Republican. The November 3 general election timeline and absence of major late-breaking shifts continue to anchor market pricing around these probabilities.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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