Delia Ramirez, the Democratic incumbent since 2023, secured her party's nomination in the March 2026 primary with minimal opposition and enters the November general election against Republican Angel Oakley in a district anchored in Democratic-leaning Chicago neighborhoods and nearby suburbs. The area's consistent voting patterns, including Ramirez's 67 percent share in 2024, underpin trader consensus reflected in the wide gap between the parties. No major scandals, candidate withdrawals, or polling shifts have emerged to alter this positioning in recent months. A realistic challenge would require an unforeseen late-cycle development such as a significant personal or ethical issue for Ramirez or an unusually strong national Republican performance capable of overcoming the district's structural Democratic advantage.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourIL-03 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
$39,419 Vol.
$39,419 Vol.
Parti démocrate
94%
Parti républicain
2%
$39,419 Vol.
$39,419 Vol.
Parti démocrate
94%
Parti républicain
2%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Delia Ramirez, the Democratic incumbent since 2023, secured her party's nomination in the March 2026 primary with minimal opposition and enters the November general election against Republican Angel Oakley in a district anchored in Democratic-leaning Chicago neighborhoods and nearby suburbs. The area's consistent voting patterns, including Ramirez's 67 percent share in 2024, underpin trader consensus reflected in the wide gap between the parties. No major scandals, candidate withdrawals, or polling shifts have emerged to alter this positioning in recent months. A realistic challenge would require an unforeseen late-cycle development such as a significant personal or ethical issue for Ramirez or an unusually strong national Republican performance capable of overcoming the district's structural Democratic advantage.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes