Incumbent Democrat Mike Quigley’s easy primary victory in March and the district’s entrenched D+19 partisan lean anchor trader consensus at 94.5% for the Democratic nominee in the November general election. The seat has delivered consistent Democratic margins above 30 points in recent cycles, and Quigley faces Republican Tom Hanson with no competitive polling or fundraising signals of a serious challenge. Analyst ratings classify the race as Solid Democratic. A late national Republican wave, major scandal involving the incumbent, or sharp turnout drop among core Democratic voters could narrow the gap, though historical base rates and structural factors make such shifts improbable before Election Day.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre IL-05
Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre IL-05
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
95%
Parti républicain
6%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
$7,806 Vol.
95%
Parti républicain
$1,548 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Mike Quigley’s easy primary victory in March and the district’s entrenched D+19 partisan lean anchor trader consensus at 94.5% for the Democratic nominee in the November general election. The seat has delivered consistent Democratic margins above 30 points in recent cycles, and Quigley faces Republican Tom Hanson with no competitive polling or fundraising signals of a serious challenge. Analyst ratings classify the race as Solid Democratic. A late national Republican wave, major scandal involving the incumbent, or sharp turnout drop among core Democratic voters could narrow the gap, though historical base rates and structural factors make such shifts improbable before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$9,354Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Mike Quigley’s easy primary victory in March and the district’s entrenched D+19 partisan lean anchor trader consensus at 94.5% for the Democratic nominee in the November general election. The seat has delivered consistent Democratic margins above 30 points in recent cycles, and Quigley faces Republican Tom Hanson with no competitive polling or fundraising signals of a serious challenge. Analyst ratings classify the race as Solid Democratic. A late national Republican wave, major scandal involving the incumbent, or sharp turnout drop among core Democratic voters could narrow the gap, though historical base rates and structural factors make such shifts improbable before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$9,354Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Mike Quigley’s easy primary victory in March and the district’s entrenched D+19 partisan lean anchor trader consensus at 94.5% for the Democratic nominee in the November general election. The seat has delivered consistent Democratic margins above 30 points in recent cycles, and Quigley faces Republican Tom Hanson with no competitive polling or fundraising signals of a serious challenge. Analyst ratings classify the race as Solid Democratic. A late national Republican wave, major scandal involving the incumbent, or sharp turnout drop among core Democratic voters could narrow the gap, though historical base rates and structural factors make such shifts improbable before Election Day.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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