Illinois's 15th congressional district covers rural central and southern areas with a strong Republican lean, where incumbent Rep. Mary Miller secured her party's nomination in the March 2026 primary and faces Democrat Jennifer Todd in the November general election. Primary results and independent ratings classify the seat as solidly Republican, reflecting consistent voter patterns and the absence of competitive Democratic performance in recent cycles. Trader consensus favors the Republican nominee at 93.5 percent, consistent with historical margins and limited evidence of shifting local dynamics. A national political environment producing unusually high Democratic turnout or an unforeseen development affecting Miller could narrow the gap, though current indicators show few pathways for a competitive contest.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur de l'élection à la maison IL-15
Vainqueur de l'élection à la maison IL-15
$34,293 Vol.
$34,293 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
94%
Parti démocrate
7%
$34,293 Vol.
$34,293 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
$17,306 Vol.
94%
Parti démocrate
$16,987 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Illinois's 15th congressional district covers rural central and southern areas with a strong Republican lean, where incumbent Rep. Mary Miller secured her party's nomination in the March 2026 primary and faces Democrat Jennifer Todd in the November general election. Primary results and independent ratings classify the seat as solidly Republican, reflecting consistent voter patterns and the absence of competitive Democratic performance in recent cycles. Trader consensus favors the Republican nominee at 93.5 percent, consistent with historical margins and limited evidence of shifting local dynamics. A national political environment producing unusually high Democratic turnout or an unforeseen development affecting Miller could narrow the gap, though current indicators show few pathways for a competitive contest.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$34,293Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Illinois's 15th congressional district covers rural central and southern areas with a strong Republican lean, where incumbent Rep. Mary Miller secured her party's nomination in the March 2026 primary and faces Democrat Jennifer Todd in the November general election. Primary results and independent ratings classify the seat as solidly Republican, reflecting consistent voter patterns and the absence of competitive Democratic performance in recent cycles. Trader consensus favors the Republican nominee at 93.5 percent, consistent with historical margins and limited evidence of shifting local dynamics. A national political environment producing unusually high Democratic turnout or an unforeseen development affecting Miller could narrow the gap, though current indicators show few pathways for a competitive contest.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$34,293Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Illinois's 15th congressional district covers rural central and southern areas with a strong Republican lean, where incumbent Rep. Mary Miller secured her party's nomination in the March 2026 primary and faces Democrat Jennifer Todd in the November general election. Primary results and independent ratings classify the seat as solidly Republican, reflecting consistent voter patterns and the absence of competitive Democratic performance in recent cycles. Trader consensus favors the Republican nominee at 93.5 percent, consistent with historical margins and limited evidence of shifting local dynamics. A national political environment producing unusually high Democratic turnout or an unforeseen development affecting Miller could narrow the gap, though current indicators show few pathways for a competitive contest.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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