Illinois's 13th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+5 and is held by Democratic incumbent Nikki Budzinski, who is seeking a third term in the November 2026 general election. Forecasters across Decision Desk HQ, Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the seat Safe or Solid Democratic, supported by Budzinski's substantial fundraising edge and the absence of a competitive Republican challenge following the March 2026 GOP primary. Traders assign the Democratic nominee a 93.5% implied probability, reflecting the district's consistent recent voting patterns and limited crossover appeal for Republican nominee Jeff Wilson. A national political environment shift, significant late-cycle scandal, or unusually low Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though structural factors make such outcomes improbable without major intervening events.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur de l'élection à la maison IL-13
Vainqueur de l'élection à la maison IL-13
$11,088 Vol.
$11,088 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
94%
Parti républicain
7%
$11,088 Vol.
$11,088 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
$5,763 Vol.
94%
Parti républicain
$5,325 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Illinois's 13th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+5 and is held by Democratic incumbent Nikki Budzinski, who is seeking a third term in the November 2026 general election. Forecasters across Decision Desk HQ, Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the seat Safe or Solid Democratic, supported by Budzinski's substantial fundraising edge and the absence of a competitive Republican challenge following the March 2026 GOP primary. Traders assign the Democratic nominee a 93.5% implied probability, reflecting the district's consistent recent voting patterns and limited crossover appeal for Republican nominee Jeff Wilson. A national political environment shift, significant late-cycle scandal, or unusually low Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though structural factors make such outcomes improbable without major intervening events.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$11,088Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Illinois's 13th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+5 and is held by Democratic incumbent Nikki Budzinski, who is seeking a third term in the November 2026 general election. Forecasters across Decision Desk HQ, Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the seat Safe or Solid Democratic, supported by Budzinski's substantial fundraising edge and the absence of a competitive Republican challenge following the March 2026 GOP primary. Traders assign the Democratic nominee a 93.5% implied probability, reflecting the district's consistent recent voting patterns and limited crossover appeal for Republican nominee Jeff Wilson. A national political environment shift, significant late-cycle scandal, or unusually low Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though structural factors make such outcomes improbable without major intervening events.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$11,088Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Illinois's 13th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+5 and is held by Democratic incumbent Nikki Budzinski, who is seeking a third term in the November 2026 general election. Forecasters across Decision Desk HQ, Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the seat Safe or Solid Democratic, supported by Budzinski's substantial fundraising edge and the absence of a competitive Republican challenge following the March 2026 GOP primary. Traders assign the Democratic nominee a 93.5% implied probability, reflecting the district's consistent recent voting patterns and limited crossover appeal for Republican nominee Jeff Wilson. A national political environment shift, significant late-cycle scandal, or unusually low Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though structural factors make such outcomes improbable without major intervening events.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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