Florida's newly drawn 22nd congressional district, finalized in late April 2026 after legislative passage and gubernatorial approval, created an open seat that has attracted multiple Democratic and Republican primary candidates ahead of the August 18 contests. The district spans from Broward County through parts of Palm Beach and into Collier County, producing a competitive environment reflected in trader pricing that assigns a narrow edge to the eventual Democratic nominee. Primary filings and early fundraising reports have shaped positioning, with the general election scheduled for November 3. The close implied probabilities underscore the impact of candidate selection and turnout patterns in this redrawn battleground.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre FL-22
$14,433 Vol.
$14,433 Vol.
Parti démocrate
53%
Parti républicain
41%
$14,433 Vol.
$14,433 Vol.
Parti démocrate
53%
Parti républicain
41%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's newly drawn 22nd congressional district, finalized in late April 2026 after legislative passage and gubernatorial approval, created an open seat that has attracted multiple Democratic and Republican primary candidates ahead of the August 18 contests. The district spans from Broward County through parts of Palm Beach and into Collier County, producing a competitive environment reflected in trader pricing that assigns a narrow edge to the eventual Democratic nominee. Primary filings and early fundraising reports have shaped positioning, with the general election scheduled for November 3. The close implied probabilities underscore the impact of candidate selection and turnout patterns in this redrawn battleground.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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