Seth Magaziner, the Democratic incumbent since 2023, holds a commanding position in Rhode Island’s 2nd Congressional District heading into the November 3, 2026 general election. The district’s D+4 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Democratic performance underpin trader consensus, reinforced by unanimous “Solid Democratic” or “Safe Democratic” ratings from forecasters. Magaziner advanced unopposed through the September 9 Democratic primary, while Republican nominee Victor Mellor prevailed in a contested primary but faces immediate scrutiny over his January 6, 2021 participation and limited party infrastructure. Recent primary results and the absence of competitive polling or national shifts sustaining a Republican surge have locked in the wide margin, though late developments such as turnout anomalies, major scandals, or an unexpected national environment could still alter the trajectory before Election Day.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourRI-02 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
RI-02 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
$46,233 Vol.
$46,233 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Seth Magaziner (D)
97%
Victor Mellor (R)
1%
$46,233 Vol.
$46,233 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Seth Magaziner (D)
$18,995 Vol.
97%
Victor Mellor (R)
$27,238 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the RI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Seth Magaziner, the Democratic incumbent since 2023, holds a commanding position in Rhode Island’s 2nd Congressional District heading into the November 3, 2026 general election. The district’s D+4 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Democratic performance underpin trader consensus, reinforced by unanimous “Solid Democratic” or “Safe Democratic” ratings from forecasters. Magaziner advanced unopposed through the September 9 Democratic primary, while Republican nominee Victor Mellor prevailed in a contested primary but faces immediate scrutiny over his January 6, 2021 participation and limited party infrastructure. Recent primary results and the absence of competitive polling or national shifts sustaining a Republican surge have locked in the wide margin, though late developments such as turnout anomalies, major scandals, or an unexpected national environment could still alter the trajectory before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the RI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$46,233Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the RI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Seth Magaziner, the Democratic incumbent since 2023, holds a commanding position in Rhode Island’s 2nd Congressional District heading into the November 3, 2026 general election. The district’s D+4 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Democratic performance underpin trader consensus, reinforced by unanimous “Solid Democratic” or “Safe Democratic” ratings from forecasters. Magaziner advanced unopposed through the September 9 Democratic primary, while Republican nominee Victor Mellor prevailed in a contested primary but faces immediate scrutiny over his January 6, 2021 participation and limited party infrastructure. Recent primary results and the absence of competitive polling or national shifts sustaining a Republican surge have locked in the wide margin, though late developments such as turnout anomalies, major scandals, or an unexpected national environment could still alter the trajectory before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the RI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$46,233Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...Seth Magaziner, the Democratic incumbent since 2023, holds a commanding position in Rhode Island’s 2nd Congressional District heading into the November 3, 2026 general election. The district’s D+4 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Democratic performance underpin trader consensus, reinforced by unanimous “Solid Democratic” or “Safe Democratic” ratings from forecasters. Magaziner advanced unopposed through the September 9 Democratic primary, while Republican nominee Victor Mellor prevailed in a contested primary but faces immediate scrutiny over his January 6, 2021 participation and limited party infrastructure. Recent primary results and the absence of competitive polling or national shifts sustaining a Republican surge have locked in the wide margin, though late developments such as turnout anomalies, major scandals, or an unexpected national environment could still alter the trajectory before Election Day.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes