Seth Magaziner, the Democratic incumbent seeking a third term, benefits from Rhode Island's 2nd district strong partisan lean and historical voting patterns that have consistently favored Democrats by wide margins. Cook Political Report rates the seat Solid Democrat with limited Republican interest in mounting a competitive challenge ahead of the September primary and November general election. Trader consensus at 94.5% for Democrats reflects these structural factors and the absence of major recent developments that would shift the race. Potential scenarios that could alter the outcome include a significant national Republican wave, an unexpectedly strong GOP nominee emerging from the primary, or late developments such as candidate scandals or health issues affecting the incumbent.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourRI-02 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
RI-02 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
$22,220 Vol.
$22,220 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
95%
Parti républicain
6%
$22,220 Vol.
$22,220 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
$16,331 Vol.
95%
Parti républicain
$5,890 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the RI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Seth Magaziner, the Democratic incumbent seeking a third term, benefits from Rhode Island's 2nd district strong partisan lean and historical voting patterns that have consistently favored Democrats by wide margins. Cook Political Report rates the seat Solid Democrat with limited Republican interest in mounting a competitive challenge ahead of the September primary and November general election. Trader consensus at 94.5% for Democrats reflects these structural factors and the absence of major recent developments that would shift the race. Potential scenarios that could alter the outcome include a significant national Republican wave, an unexpectedly strong GOP nominee emerging from the primary, or late developments such as candidate scandals or health issues affecting the incumbent.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the RI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$22,220Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the RI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Seth Magaziner, the Democratic incumbent seeking a third term, benefits from Rhode Island's 2nd district strong partisan lean and historical voting patterns that have consistently favored Democrats by wide margins. Cook Political Report rates the seat Solid Democrat with limited Republican interest in mounting a competitive challenge ahead of the September primary and November general election. Trader consensus at 94.5% for Democrats reflects these structural factors and the absence of major recent developments that would shift the race. Potential scenarios that could alter the outcome include a significant national Republican wave, an unexpectedly strong GOP nominee emerging from the primary, or late developments such as candidate scandals or health issues affecting the incumbent.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the RI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$22,220Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Seth Magaziner, the Democratic incumbent seeking a third term, benefits from Rhode Island's 2nd district strong partisan lean and historical voting patterns that have consistently favored Democrats by wide margins. Cook Political Report rates the seat Solid Democrat with limited Republican interest in mounting a competitive challenge ahead of the September primary and November general election. Trader consensus at 94.5% for Democrats reflects these structural factors and the absence of major recent developments that would shift the race. Potential scenarios that could alter the outcome include a significant national Republican wave, an unexpectedly strong GOP nominee emerging from the primary, or late developments such as candidate scandals or health issues affecting the incumbent.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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