**Republican control of Florida’s 21st congressional district remains the strong trader consensus at 85 percent, driven by the seat’s Republican lean and incumbent Representative Brian Mast’s established position.** The district carries a partisan voting index around R+7 and has been rated Solid Republican or Safe Republican by Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Mast, a veteran Republican first elected in 2016 and redistricted into the seat, has consistently won general elections by double-digit margins. Florida’s 2026 congressional map, enacted in 2026 and upheld by courts, reinforces a statewide 24–4 Republican advantage, further solidifying the district’s tilt. Democrats face a crowded August 18 primary with candidates including James Martin and Elizabeth Pandich, but the general-election environment and fundraising gap favor the Republican nominee. With the November 3 general election still months away and no major recent developments altering the baseline, market pricing reflects the structural and historical advantages for Republicans in this South Florida district.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre FL-21
Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre FL-21
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
85%
Parti démocrate
14%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
$4,665 Vol.
85%
Parti démocrate
$3,322 Vol.
14%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Republican control of Florida’s 21st congressional district remains the strong trader consensus at 85 percent, driven by the seat’s Republican lean and incumbent Representative Brian Mast’s established position.**
The district carries a partisan voting index around R+7 and has been rated Solid Republican or Safe Republican by Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Mast, a veteran Republican first elected in 2016 and redistricted into the seat, has consistently won general elections by double-digit margins. Florida’s 2026 congressional map, enacted in 2026 and upheld by courts, reinforces a statewide 24–4 Republican advantage, further solidifying the district’s tilt.
Democrats face a crowded August 18 primary with candidates including James Martin and Elizabeth Pandich, but the general-election environment and fundraising gap favor the Republican nominee. With the November 3 general election still months away and no major recent developments altering the baseline, market pricing reflects the structural and historical advantages for Republicans in this South Florida district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
Volume
$7,987Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Republican control of Florida’s 21st congressional district remains the strong trader consensus at 85 percent, driven by the seat’s Republican lean and incumbent Representative Brian Mast’s established position.**
The district carries a partisan voting index around R+7 and has been rated Solid Republican or Safe Republican by Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Mast, a veteran Republican first elected in 2016 and redistricted into the seat, has consistently won general elections by double-digit margins. Florida’s 2026 congressional map, enacted in 2026 and upheld by courts, reinforces a statewide 24–4 Republican advantage, further solidifying the district’s tilt.
Democrats face a crowded August 18 primary with candidates including James Martin and Elizabeth Pandich, but the general-election environment and fundraising gap favor the Republican nominee. With the November 3 general election still months away and no major recent developments altering the baseline, market pricing reflects the structural and historical advantages for Republicans in this South Florida district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$7,987Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...**Republican control of Florida’s 21st congressional district remains the strong trader consensus at 85 percent, driven by the seat’s Republican lean and incumbent Representative Brian Mast’s established position.** The district carries a partisan voting index around R+7 and has been rated Solid Republican or Safe Republican by Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Mast, a veteran Republican first elected in 2016 and redistricted into the seat, has consistently won general elections by double-digit margins. Florida’s 2026 congressional map, enacted in 2026 and upheld by courts, reinforces a statewide 24–4 Republican advantage, further solidifying the district’s tilt. Democrats face a crowded August 18 primary with candidates including James Martin and Elizabeth Pandich, but the general-election environment and fundraising gap favor the Republican nominee. With the November 3 general election still months away and no major recent developments altering the baseline, market pricing reflects the structural and historical advantages for Republicans in this South Florida district.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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