Texas's 22nd congressional district became an open seat after incumbent Troy Nehls retired, prompting a March 2026 Republican primary won by Trever Nehls. The district's established Republican tilt, reflected in recent presidential voting patterns and Cook Political Report's Solid Republican rating, underpins the 92.5% implied probability for the Republican nominee. With the Democratic primary also concluded, limited crossover appeal or fundraising gaps have kept the race noncompetitive thus far. Late-cycle factors such as a national Democratic surge, candidate-specific controversies, or unusually high turnout shifts in suburban areas could still alter the outcome before November.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre TX-22
Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre TX-22
$15,511 Vol.
$15,511 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
93%
Parti démocrate
8%
$15,511 Vol.
$15,511 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
$5,922 Vol.
93%
Parti démocrate
$9,589 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 22nd congressional district became an open seat after incumbent Troy Nehls retired, prompting a March 2026 Republican primary won by Trever Nehls. The district's established Republican tilt, reflected in recent presidential voting patterns and Cook Political Report's Solid Republican rating, underpins the 92.5% implied probability for the Republican nominee. With the Democratic primary also concluded, limited crossover appeal or fundraising gaps have kept the race noncompetitive thus far. Late-cycle factors such as a national Democratic surge, candidate-specific controversies, or unusually high turnout shifts in suburban areas could still alter the outcome before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$15,511Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 22nd congressional district became an open seat after incumbent Troy Nehls retired, prompting a March 2026 Republican primary won by Trever Nehls. The district's established Republican tilt, reflected in recent presidential voting patterns and Cook Political Report's Solid Republican rating, underpins the 92.5% implied probability for the Republican nominee. With the Democratic primary also concluded, limited crossover appeal or fundraising gaps have kept the race noncompetitive thus far. Late-cycle factors such as a national Democratic surge, candidate-specific controversies, or unusually high turnout shifts in suburban areas could still alter the outcome before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$15,511Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Texas's 22nd congressional district became an open seat after incumbent Troy Nehls retired, prompting a March 2026 Republican primary won by Trever Nehls. The district's established Republican tilt, reflected in recent presidential voting patterns and Cook Political Report's Solid Republican rating, underpins the 92.5% implied probability for the Republican nominee. With the Democratic primary also concluded, limited crossover appeal or fundraising gaps have kept the race noncompetitive thus far. Late-cycle factors such as a national Democratic surge, candidate-specific controversies, or unusually high turnout shifts in suburban areas could still alter the outcome before November.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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