Texas's 23rd congressional district maintains a Republican lean rooted in its voting history and border demographics, supporting trader consensus around a 73.5% probability for the Republican nominee. The March 2026 primaries and May runoff produced Brandon Herrera as the GOP standard-bearer following incumbent Tony Gonzales's withdrawal amid scandal, while Katy Padilla Stout secured the Democratic nomination. Nonpartisan race raters classify the contest as likely Republican. Recent polling shows Herrera holding a narrow edge in head-to-head matchups, though the seat's structural advantages and limited shifts in voter sentiment since candidate selection keep the Republican outcome favored ahead of the November 3 general election.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre TX-23
$27,435 Vol.
$27,435 Vol.
Parti républicain
74%
Parti démocrate
28%
$27,435 Vol.
$27,435 Vol.
Parti républicain
74%
Parti démocrate
28%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Texas's 23rd congressional district maintains a Republican lean rooted in its voting history and border demographics, supporting trader consensus around a 73.5% probability for the Republican nominee. The March 2026 primaries and May runoff produced Brandon Herrera as the GOP standard-bearer following incumbent Tony Gonzales's withdrawal amid scandal, while Katy Padilla Stout secured the Democratic nomination. Nonpartisan race raters classify the contest as likely Republican. Recent polling shows Herrera holding a narrow edge in head-to-head matchups, though the seat's structural advantages and limited shifts in voter sentiment since candidate selection keep the Republican outcome favored ahead of the November 3 general election.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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