Republican nominee Brandon Herrera, who prevailed in the May 2026 primary runoff after incumbent Tony Gonzales withdrew, faces Democrat Katy Padilla Stout in the November 3 general election for Texas’s 23rd congressional district. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as Likely Republican, reflecting the district’s border-region composition, historical voting patterns favoring the GOP, and limited polling that shows the Republican ahead by narrow margins. Trader consensus at 76% for the Republican Party and 14.5% for the Democratic Party incorporates these structural factors along with the absence of major new developments in the weeks since the primaries concluded.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre TX-23
$26,883 Vol.
$26,883 Vol.
Parti républicain
76%
Parti démocrate
21%
$26,883 Vol.
$26,883 Vol.
Parti républicain
76%
Parti démocrate
21%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican nominee Brandon Herrera, who prevailed in the May 2026 primary runoff after incumbent Tony Gonzales withdrew, faces Democrat Katy Padilla Stout in the November 3 general election for Texas’s 23rd congressional district. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as Likely Republican, reflecting the district’s border-region composition, historical voting patterns favoring the GOP, and limited polling that shows the Republican ahead by narrow margins. Trader consensus at 76% for the Republican Party and 14.5% for the Democratic Party incorporates these structural factors along with the absence of major new developments in the weeks since the primaries concluded.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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