**Texas's 21st congressional district leans solidly Republican, reflected in trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee at 81.5%.** The open seat—following incumbent Chip Roy’s retirement to seek the state attorney general post—drew a crowded Republican primary that former Major League Baseball player Mark Teixeira won decisively in March 2026. Teixeira’s fundraising edge and endorsements have positioned him strongly for the November general election against Democrat Kristin Hook, who won her party’s primary. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the race as Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with the district’s R+10 partisan voting index and its mix of Hill Country, San Antonio suburbs, and exurban areas. With the general election still five months away, limited late-cycle shifts such as turnout surges or unexpected national developments remain the primary variables that could alter probabilities before November 3.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre TX-21
Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre TX-21
$35,604 Vol.
$35,604 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
82%
Parti démocrate
15%
$35,604 Vol.
$35,604 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
$19,654 Vol.
82%
Parti démocrate
$15,951 Vol.
15%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Texas's 21st congressional district leans solidly Republican, reflected in trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee at 81.5%.** The open seat—following incumbent Chip Roy’s retirement to seek the state attorney general post—drew a crowded Republican primary that former Major League Baseball player Mark Teixeira won decisively in March 2026. Teixeira’s fundraising edge and endorsements have positioned him strongly for the November general election against Democrat Kristin Hook, who won her party’s primary.
Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the race as Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with the district’s R+10 partisan voting index and its mix of Hill Country, San Antonio suburbs, and exurban areas. With the general election still five months away, limited late-cycle shifts such as turnout surges or unexpected national developments remain the primary variables that could alter probabilities before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$35,604Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Texas's 21st congressional district leans solidly Republican, reflected in trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee at 81.5%.** The open seat—following incumbent Chip Roy’s retirement to seek the state attorney general post—drew a crowded Republican primary that former Major League Baseball player Mark Teixeira won decisively in March 2026. Teixeira’s fundraising edge and endorsements have positioned him strongly for the November general election against Democrat Kristin Hook, who won her party’s primary.
Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the race as Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with the district’s R+10 partisan voting index and its mix of Hill Country, San Antonio suburbs, and exurban areas. With the general election still five months away, limited late-cycle shifts such as turnout surges or unexpected national developments remain the primary variables that could alter probabilities before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$35,604Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...**Texas's 21st congressional district leans solidly Republican, reflected in trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee at 81.5%.** The open seat—following incumbent Chip Roy’s retirement to seek the state attorney general post—drew a crowded Republican primary that former Major League Baseball player Mark Teixeira won decisively in March 2026. Teixeira’s fundraising edge and endorsements have positioned him strongly for the November general election against Democrat Kristin Hook, who won her party’s primary. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the race as Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with the district’s R+10 partisan voting index and its mix of Hill Country, San Antonio suburbs, and exurban areas. With the general election still five months away, limited late-cycle shifts such as turnout surges or unexpected national developments remain the primary variables that could alter probabilities before November 3.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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