Republican Lance Gooden holds a commanding lead in the Texas 5th congressional district race due to the seat's consistent Republican tilt, reflected in its R+10 to R+13 Partisan Voter Index and Donald Trump's 60%+ share there in 2024. Gooden, the incumbent since 2019, advanced unopposed through the March 2026 Republican primary, while Democrat Chelsey Hockett emerged from a May runoff against Ruth Torres. Forecasters across outlets rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with the district's southeastern Dallas-Fort Worth suburbs and rural counties that have favored GOP candidates by double-digit margins in recent cycles. The general election on November 3 leaves limited time for shifts. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unusually sharp national Democratic surge could narrow the gap, though historical patterns and structural advantages make substantial movement improbable.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTX-05 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
TX-05 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
$32,412 Vol.
$32,412 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
92%
Parti démocrate
8%
$32,412 Vol.
$32,412 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
$11,524 Vol.
92%
Parti démocrate
$20,888 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican Lance Gooden holds a commanding lead in the Texas 5th congressional district race due to the seat's consistent Republican tilt, reflected in its R+10 to R+13 Partisan Voter Index and Donald Trump's 60%+ share there in 2024. Gooden, the incumbent since 2019, advanced unopposed through the March 2026 Republican primary, while Democrat Chelsey Hockett emerged from a May runoff against Ruth Torres. Forecasters across outlets rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with the district's southeastern Dallas-Fort Worth suburbs and rural counties that have favored GOP candidates by double-digit margins in recent cycles. The general election on November 3 leaves limited time for shifts. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unusually sharp national Democratic surge could narrow the gap, though historical patterns and structural advantages make substantial movement improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$32,412Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican Lance Gooden holds a commanding lead in the Texas 5th congressional district race due to the seat's consistent Republican tilt, reflected in its R+10 to R+13 Partisan Voter Index and Donald Trump's 60%+ share there in 2024. Gooden, the incumbent since 2019, advanced unopposed through the March 2026 Republican primary, while Democrat Chelsey Hockett emerged from a May runoff against Ruth Torres. Forecasters across outlets rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with the district's southeastern Dallas-Fort Worth suburbs and rural counties that have favored GOP candidates by double-digit margins in recent cycles. The general election on November 3 leaves limited time for shifts. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unusually sharp national Democratic surge could narrow the gap, though historical patterns and structural advantages make substantial movement improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$32,412Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...Republican Lance Gooden holds a commanding lead in the Texas 5th congressional district race due to the seat's consistent Republican tilt, reflected in its R+10 to R+13 Partisan Voter Index and Donald Trump's 60%+ share there in 2024. Gooden, the incumbent since 2019, advanced unopposed through the March 2026 Republican primary, while Democrat Chelsey Hockett emerged from a May runoff against Ruth Torres. Forecasters across outlets rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with the district's southeastern Dallas-Fort Worth suburbs and rural counties that have favored GOP candidates by double-digit margins in recent cycles. The general election on November 3 leaves limited time for shifts. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unusually sharp national Democratic surge could narrow the gap, though historical patterns and structural advantages make substantial movement improbable.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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