Oregon’s 3rd congressional district maintains a pronounced Democratic tilt, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index exceeding D+24 and consistent “Solid Democratic” or “Safe Democratic” ratings from forecasters. Incumbent Maxine Dexter secured her party’s nomination with roughly 90 percent of the May 2026 primary vote, underscoring unified support and substantial fundraising. Republican nominee Loran Ayles faces the structural barriers typical of the district’s urban and suburban voter base. Trader consensus at 93.5 percent for the Democratic nominee aligns with these fundamentals. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, candidate health event, or unusually strong national Republican surge could still narrow the margin, though historical results and current positioning indicate limited realistic paths to an upset.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourOR-03 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
OR-03 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
94%
Parti républicain
7%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
$750 Vol.
94%
Parti républicain
$3,138 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Oregon’s 3rd congressional district maintains a pronounced Democratic tilt, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index exceeding D+24 and consistent “Solid Democratic” or “Safe Democratic” ratings from forecasters. Incumbent Maxine Dexter secured her party’s nomination with roughly 90 percent of the May 2026 primary vote, underscoring unified support and substantial fundraising. Republican nominee Loran Ayles faces the structural barriers typical of the district’s urban and suburban voter base. Trader consensus at 93.5 percent for the Democratic nominee aligns with these fundamentals. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, candidate health event, or unusually strong national Republican surge could still narrow the margin, though historical results and current positioning indicate limited realistic paths to an upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$3,887Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Oregon’s 3rd congressional district maintains a pronounced Democratic tilt, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index exceeding D+24 and consistent “Solid Democratic” or “Safe Democratic” ratings from forecasters. Incumbent Maxine Dexter secured her party’s nomination with roughly 90 percent of the May 2026 primary vote, underscoring unified support and substantial fundraising. Republican nominee Loran Ayles faces the structural barriers typical of the district’s urban and suburban voter base. Trader consensus at 93.5 percent for the Democratic nominee aligns with these fundamentals. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, candidate health event, or unusually strong national Republican surge could still narrow the margin, though historical results and current positioning indicate limited realistic paths to an upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$3,887Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Oregon’s 3rd congressional district maintains a pronounced Democratic tilt, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index exceeding D+24 and consistent “Solid Democratic” or “Safe Democratic” ratings from forecasters. Incumbent Maxine Dexter secured her party’s nomination with roughly 90 percent of the May 2026 primary vote, underscoring unified support and substantial fundraising. Republican nominee Loran Ayles faces the structural barriers typical of the district’s urban and suburban voter base. Trader consensus at 93.5 percent for the Democratic nominee aligns with these fundamentals. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, candidate health event, or unusually strong national Republican surge could still narrow the margin, though historical results and current positioning indicate limited realistic paths to an upset.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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