The strong Democratic lean of Oregon’s 1st congressional district, reflected in its D+20 partisan voting index and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles, drives the commanding market position for the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Suzanne Bonamici won her May 19 primary with 88.9 percent against a low-profile challenger, while Republican Barbara Kahl advanced from a similarly uncontested GOP primary. The district’s western Portland suburbs and coastal areas have shown no meaningful shifts in voter registration or turnout patterns that would narrow the gap. Trader consensus therefore treats the seat as safely held absent extraordinary late-cycle events such as candidate withdrawal, major scandal, or significant national political realignment before November.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourOR-01 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
OR-01 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
94%
Parti républicain
6%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
$8,263 Vol.
94%
Parti républicain
$1,174 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The strong Democratic lean of Oregon’s 1st congressional district, reflected in its D+20 partisan voting index and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles, drives the commanding market position for the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Suzanne Bonamici won her May 19 primary with 88.9 percent against a low-profile challenger, while Republican Barbara Kahl advanced from a similarly uncontested GOP primary. The district’s western Portland suburbs and coastal areas have shown no meaningful shifts in voter registration or turnout patterns that would narrow the gap. Trader consensus therefore treats the seat as safely held absent extraordinary late-cycle events such as candidate withdrawal, major scandal, or significant national political realignment before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$9,438Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The strong Democratic lean of Oregon’s 1st congressional district, reflected in its D+20 partisan voting index and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles, drives the commanding market position for the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Suzanne Bonamici won her May 19 primary with 88.9 percent against a low-profile challenger, while Republican Barbara Kahl advanced from a similarly uncontested GOP primary. The district’s western Portland suburbs and coastal areas have shown no meaningful shifts in voter registration or turnout patterns that would narrow the gap. Trader consensus therefore treats the seat as safely held absent extraordinary late-cycle events such as candidate withdrawal, major scandal, or significant national political realignment before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$9,438Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The strong Democratic lean of Oregon’s 1st congressional district, reflected in its D+20 partisan voting index and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles, drives the commanding market position for the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Suzanne Bonamici won her May 19 primary with 88.9 percent against a low-profile challenger, while Republican Barbara Kahl advanced from a similarly uncontested GOP primary. The district’s western Portland suburbs and coastal areas have shown no meaningful shifts in voter registration or turnout patterns that would narrow the gap. Trader consensus therefore treats the seat as safely held absent extraordinary late-cycle events such as candidate withdrawal, major scandal, or significant national political realignment before November.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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