The deep-blue partisan composition of Oregon’s 1st congressional district, reflected in its D+20 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent Democratic margins exceeding 30 points in recent cycles, underpins the 93.5% implied probability for the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Representative Suzanne Bonamici secured renomination with 86.6% of the Democratic primary vote on May 19, 2026, while Republican primary voters selected Barbara Kahl. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat Solid Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. The limited Republican infrastructure and absence of major recent developments that would alter the district’s electoral math sustain trader consensus on the outcome, though any unforeseen national political shifts or candidate-specific developments before Election Day could still affect final results.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourOR-01 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
OR-01 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
94%
Parti républicain
6%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
$8,263 Vol.
94%
Parti républicain
$1,174 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The deep-blue partisan composition of Oregon’s 1st congressional district, reflected in its D+20 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent Democratic margins exceeding 30 points in recent cycles, underpins the 93.5% implied probability for the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Representative Suzanne Bonamici secured renomination with 86.6% of the Democratic primary vote on May 19, 2026, while Republican primary voters selected Barbara Kahl. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat Solid Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. The limited Republican infrastructure and absence of major recent developments that would alter the district’s electoral math sustain trader consensus on the outcome, though any unforeseen national political shifts or candidate-specific developments before Election Day could still affect final results.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$9,438Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The deep-blue partisan composition of Oregon’s 1st congressional district, reflected in its D+20 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent Democratic margins exceeding 30 points in recent cycles, underpins the 93.5% implied probability for the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Representative Suzanne Bonamici secured renomination with 86.6% of the Democratic primary vote on May 19, 2026, while Republican primary voters selected Barbara Kahl. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat Solid Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. The limited Republican infrastructure and absence of major recent developments that would alter the district’s electoral math sustain trader consensus on the outcome, though any unforeseen national political shifts or candidate-specific developments before Election Day could still affect final results.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$9,438Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The deep-blue partisan composition of Oregon’s 1st congressional district, reflected in its D+20 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent Democratic margins exceeding 30 points in recent cycles, underpins the 93.5% implied probability for the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Representative Suzanne Bonamici secured renomination with 86.6% of the Democratic primary vote on May 19, 2026, while Republican primary voters selected Barbara Kahl. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat Solid Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. The limited Republican infrastructure and absence of major recent developments that would alter the district’s electoral math sustain trader consensus on the outcome, though any unforeseen national political shifts or candidate-specific developments before Election Day could still affect final results.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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