Oregon's 2nd congressional district, covering eastern and southern rural areas, maintains a consistent Republican tilt that underpins the current market pricing ahead of the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Cliff Bentz secured the Republican nomination in the May 2026 primary without major opposition, while Democrat Chris Beck emerged as the challenger after prevailing in his party's primary. The district's voter registration patterns, historical election margins, and limited crossover appeal for Democratic candidates in this cycle contribute to the wide gap in implied probabilities. National midterm dynamics, candidate fundraising, or late shifts in turnout among rural or suburban voters represent the primary variables that could narrow the contest, though structural factors limit realistic prospects for an upset.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourOR-02 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
OR-02 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
94%
Parti démocrate
7%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
$3,376 Vol.
94%
Parti démocrate
$3,553 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Oregon's 2nd congressional district, covering eastern and southern rural areas, maintains a consistent Republican tilt that underpins the current market pricing ahead of the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Cliff Bentz secured the Republican nomination in the May 2026 primary without major opposition, while Democrat Chris Beck emerged as the challenger after prevailing in his party's primary. The district's voter registration patterns, historical election margins, and limited crossover appeal for Democratic candidates in this cycle contribute to the wide gap in implied probabilities. National midterm dynamics, candidate fundraising, or late shifts in turnout among rural or suburban voters represent the primary variables that could narrow the contest, though structural factors limit realistic prospects for an upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$6,929Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Oregon's 2nd congressional district, covering eastern and southern rural areas, maintains a consistent Republican tilt that underpins the current market pricing ahead of the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Cliff Bentz secured the Republican nomination in the May 2026 primary without major opposition, while Democrat Chris Beck emerged as the challenger after prevailing in his party's primary. The district's voter registration patterns, historical election margins, and limited crossover appeal for Democratic candidates in this cycle contribute to the wide gap in implied probabilities. National midterm dynamics, candidate fundraising, or late shifts in turnout among rural or suburban voters represent the primary variables that could narrow the contest, though structural factors limit realistic prospects for an upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$6,929Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Oregon's 2nd congressional district, covering eastern and southern rural areas, maintains a consistent Republican tilt that underpins the current market pricing ahead of the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Cliff Bentz secured the Republican nomination in the May 2026 primary without major opposition, while Democrat Chris Beck emerged as the challenger after prevailing in his party's primary. The district's voter registration patterns, historical election margins, and limited crossover appeal for Democratic candidates in this cycle contribute to the wide gap in implied probabilities. National midterm dynamics, candidate fundraising, or late shifts in turnout among rural or suburban voters represent the primary variables that could narrow the contest, though structural factors limit realistic prospects for an upset.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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