Incumbent Mario Díaz-Balart holds a commanding lead in the Florida 26th congressional district race due to his long tenure representing the area, substantial fundraising edge exceeding $2 million compared to challenger Nicole Locklin's roughly $348,000, and the district's Republican lean reflected in its Partisan Voter Index and post-redistricting boundaries. Both candidates advanced unopposed after August 2026 primaries were canceled, with Díaz-Balart securing strong past general election margins including over 70 percent in 2024. Forecasters rate the contest Likely Republican or Solid Republican. A late-breaking scandal, serious health event affecting the incumbent, or unusually strong national Democratic performance could narrow the gap, though the structural advantages and limited polling activity make significant shifts unlikely before the November 3 general election.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre FL-26
Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre FL-26
$65,756 Vol.
$65,756 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Mario Díaz-Balart (R)
91%
Nicole Locklin (D)
6%
$65,756 Vol.
$65,756 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Mario Díaz-Balart (R)
$30,183 Vol.
91%
Nicole Locklin (D)
$35,573 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Mario Díaz-Balart holds a commanding lead in the Florida 26th congressional district race due to his long tenure representing the area, substantial fundraising edge exceeding $2 million compared to challenger Nicole Locklin's roughly $348,000, and the district's Republican lean reflected in its Partisan Voter Index and post-redistricting boundaries. Both candidates advanced unopposed after August 2026 primaries were canceled, with Díaz-Balart securing strong past general election margins including over 70 percent in 2024. Forecasters rate the contest Likely Republican or Solid Republican. A late-breaking scandal, serious health event affecting the incumbent, or unusually strong national Democratic performance could narrow the gap, though the structural advantages and limited polling activity make significant shifts unlikely before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
Volume
$65,756Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Mario Díaz-Balart holds a commanding lead in the Florida 26th congressional district race due to his long tenure representing the area, substantial fundraising edge exceeding $2 million compared to challenger Nicole Locklin's roughly $348,000, and the district's Republican lean reflected in its Partisan Voter Index and post-redistricting boundaries. Both candidates advanced unopposed after August 2026 primaries were canceled, with Díaz-Balart securing strong past general election margins including over 70 percent in 2024. Forecasters rate the contest Likely Republican or Solid Republican. A late-breaking scandal, serious health event affecting the incumbent, or unusually strong national Democratic performance could narrow the gap, though the structural advantages and limited polling activity make significant shifts unlikely before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$65,756Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Mario Díaz-Balart holds a commanding lead in the Florida 26th congressional district race due to his long tenure representing the area, substantial fundraising edge exceeding $2 million compared to challenger Nicole Locklin's roughly $348,000, and the district's Republican lean reflected in its Partisan Voter Index and post-redistricting boundaries. Both candidates advanced unopposed after August 2026 primaries were canceled, with Díaz-Balart securing strong past general election margins including over 70 percent in 2024. Forecasters rate the contest Likely Republican or Solid Republican. A late-breaking scandal, serious health event affecting the incumbent, or unusually strong national Democratic performance could narrow the gap, though the structural advantages and limited polling activity make significant shifts unlikely before the November 3 general election.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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