Incumbent Republican Mike Flood seeks a second full term in Nebraska’s 1st District, an R+6 seat covering eastern Nebraska outside Omaha. Flood ran unopposed in the May 12 Republican primary while Democrat Chris Backemeyer secured his party’s nomination. The Cook Political Report rates the contest Solid Republican, consistent with the district’s partisan voting index and Flood’s 2024 margin. A late-May Tavern Research poll showed Flood at 45% and Backemeyer at 43%, yet broader midterm dynamics and the absence of major recent developments have left traders assigning the Republican Party an 80.5% implied probability of retaining the seat. An independent candidacy and national generic-ballot trends remain secondary factors that could influence turnout but have not shifted the core structural outlook.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourNE-01 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
NE-01 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
$23,052 Vol.
$23,052 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
81%
Parti démocrate
16%
$23,052 Vol.
$23,052 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
$11,668 Vol.
81%
Parti démocrate
$11,385 Vol.
16%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NE-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mike Flood seeks a second full term in Nebraska’s 1st District, an R+6 seat covering eastern Nebraska outside Omaha. Flood ran unopposed in the May 12 Republican primary while Democrat Chris Backemeyer secured his party’s nomination. The Cook Political Report rates the contest Solid Republican, consistent with the district’s partisan voting index and Flood’s 2024 margin. A late-May Tavern Research poll showed Flood at 45% and Backemeyer at 43%, yet broader midterm dynamics and the absence of major recent developments have left traders assigning the Republican Party an 80.5% implied probability of retaining the seat. An independent candidacy and national generic-ballot trends remain secondary factors that could influence turnout but have not shifted the core structural outlook.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NE-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volume
$23,052Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NE-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mike Flood seeks a second full term in Nebraska’s 1st District, an R+6 seat covering eastern Nebraska outside Omaha. Flood ran unopposed in the May 12 Republican primary while Democrat Chris Backemeyer secured his party’s nomination. The Cook Political Report rates the contest Solid Republican, consistent with the district’s partisan voting index and Flood’s 2024 margin. A late-May Tavern Research poll showed Flood at 45% and Backemeyer at 43%, yet broader midterm dynamics and the absence of major recent developments have left traders assigning the Republican Party an 80.5% implied probability of retaining the seat. An independent candidacy and national generic-ballot trends remain secondary factors that could influence turnout but have not shifted the core structural outlook.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NE-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$23,052Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Mike Flood seeks a second full term in Nebraska’s 1st District, an R+6 seat covering eastern Nebraska outside Omaha. Flood ran unopposed in the May 12 Republican primary while Democrat Chris Backemeyer secured his party’s nomination. The Cook Political Report rates the contest Solid Republican, consistent with the district’s partisan voting index and Flood’s 2024 margin. A late-May Tavern Research poll showed Flood at 45% and Backemeyer at 43%, yet broader midterm dynamics and the absence of major recent developments have left traders assigning the Republican Party an 80.5% implied probability of retaining the seat. An independent candidacy and national generic-ballot trends remain secondary factors that could influence turnout but have not shifted the core structural outlook.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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