Incumbent Democrat Chellie Pingree faces the Republican nominee in Maine’s 1st congressional district on November 3, 2026, after winning her primary uncontested. The district’s D+11 partisan voting index and Pingree’s consistent reelection margins above 15 points reflect strong Democratic performance in southern and coastal Maine, including Portland. Recent primary results and limited Republican fundraising underscore the structural barriers for the GOP challenger. Trader consensus at 93.5% for Democrats aligns with these fundamentals. A late national Republican surge, unexpected candidate withdrawal, or major scandal could narrow the gap, though historical patterns in similar districts suggest limited realistic paths to an upset.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur des élections à la maison ME-01
Vainqueur des élections à la maison ME-01
$37,271 Vol.
$37,271 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
94%
Parti républicain
6%
$37,271 Vol.
$37,271 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
$28,821 Vol.
94%
Parti républicain
$8,449 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ME-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Chellie Pingree faces the Republican nominee in Maine’s 1st congressional district on November 3, 2026, after winning her primary uncontested. The district’s D+11 partisan voting index and Pingree’s consistent reelection margins above 15 points reflect strong Democratic performance in southern and coastal Maine, including Portland. Recent primary results and limited Republican fundraising underscore the structural barriers for the GOP challenger. Trader consensus at 93.5% for Democrats aligns with these fundamentals. A late national Republican surge, unexpected candidate withdrawal, or major scandal could narrow the gap, though historical patterns in similar districts suggest limited realistic paths to an upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ME-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$37,271Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ME-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Chellie Pingree faces the Republican nominee in Maine’s 1st congressional district on November 3, 2026, after winning her primary uncontested. The district’s D+11 partisan voting index and Pingree’s consistent reelection margins above 15 points reflect strong Democratic performance in southern and coastal Maine, including Portland. Recent primary results and limited Republican fundraising underscore the structural barriers for the GOP challenger. Trader consensus at 93.5% for Democrats aligns with these fundamentals. A late national Republican surge, unexpected candidate withdrawal, or major scandal could narrow the gap, though historical patterns in similar districts suggest limited realistic paths to an upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ME-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$37,271Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Chellie Pingree faces the Republican nominee in Maine’s 1st congressional district on November 3, 2026, after winning her primary uncontested. The district’s D+11 partisan voting index and Pingree’s consistent reelection margins above 15 points reflect strong Democratic performance in southern and coastal Maine, including Portland. Recent primary results and limited Republican fundraising underscore the structural barriers for the GOP challenger. Trader consensus at 93.5% for Democrats aligns with these fundamentals. A late national Republican surge, unexpected candidate withdrawal, or major scandal could narrow the gap, though historical patterns in similar districts suggest limited realistic paths to an upset.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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