Incumbent Democrat Salud Carbajal advanced from the June 2026 primary alongside Republican Bob Smith to face off in the November general election for California's 24th congressional district. The seat's consistent Democratic performance, including Carbajal's 2024 victory with over 60 percent of the vote, underpins trader consensus reflected in the current pricing. Redistricting and the district's demographic composition have reinforced its solid Democratic classification across multiple nonpartisan ratings. Late developments such as scandals, health issues, or an unusually strong national Republican wave remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap before Election Day.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre CA-24
Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre CA-24
$17,919 Vol.
$17,919 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
94%
Parti républicain
6%
$17,919 Vol.
$17,919 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
$10,034 Vol.
94%
Parti républicain
$7,884 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Salud Carbajal advanced from the June 2026 primary alongside Republican Bob Smith to face off in the November general election for California's 24th congressional district. The seat's consistent Democratic performance, including Carbajal's 2024 victory with over 60 percent of the vote, underpins trader consensus reflected in the current pricing. Redistricting and the district's demographic composition have reinforced its solid Democratic classification across multiple nonpartisan ratings. Late developments such as scandals, health issues, or an unusually strong national Republican wave remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Volume
$17,919Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Salud Carbajal advanced from the June 2026 primary alongside Republican Bob Smith to face off in the November general election for California's 24th congressional district. The seat's consistent Democratic performance, including Carbajal's 2024 victory with over 60 percent of the vote, underpins trader consensus reflected in the current pricing. Redistricting and the district's demographic composition have reinforced its solid Democratic classification across multiple nonpartisan ratings. Late developments such as scandals, health issues, or an unusually strong national Republican wave remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$17,919Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Salud Carbajal advanced from the June 2026 primary alongside Republican Bob Smith to face off in the November general election for California's 24th congressional district. The seat's consistent Democratic performance, including Carbajal's 2024 victory with over 60 percent of the vote, underpins trader consensus reflected in the current pricing. Redistricting and the district's demographic composition have reinforced its solid Democratic classification across multiple nonpartisan ratings. Late developments such as scandals, health issues, or an unusually strong national Republican wave remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap before Election Day.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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