Democratic challenger JoAnna Mendoza holds a strong position in Arizona’s 6th Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election, driven by the broader national environment favoring Democrats in the 2026 midterms. Low presidential approval ratings and a generic ballot advantage for Democrats have pressured the Republican incumbent Juan Ciscomani in this swing district that has alternated parties in recent cycles. Mendoza, a Marine veteran, has maintained a fundraising edge, secured key endorsements from Arizona senators and groups like EMILY’s List and VoteVets, and benefited from earlier polling showing narrow leads that have widened in internal surveys. Attack ads from both campaigns focus on record and background issues, yet trader consensus reflects the district’s recent Democratic lean in statewide contests and the structural headwinds facing the GOP majority defense.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$11,789 Vol.
$11,789 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
JoAnna Mendoza (D)
83%
Juan Ciscomani (R)
18%
$11,789 Vol.
$11,789 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
JoAnna Mendoza (D)
$4,019 Vol.
83%
Juan Ciscomani (R)
$7,771 Vol.
18%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic challenger JoAnna Mendoza holds a strong position in Arizona’s 6th Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election, driven by the broader national environment favoring Democrats in the 2026 midterms. Low presidential approval ratings and a generic ballot advantage for Democrats have pressured the Republican incumbent Juan Ciscomani in this swing district that has alternated parties in recent cycles. Mendoza, a Marine veteran, has maintained a fundraising edge, secured key endorsements from Arizona senators and groups like EMILY’s List and VoteVets, and benefited from earlier polling showing narrow leads that have widened in internal surveys. Attack ads from both campaigns focus on record and background issues, yet trader consensus reflects the district’s recent Democratic lean in statewide contests and the structural headwinds facing the GOP majority defense.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Dec 16, 2025, 11:41 AM ET
Volume
$11,789Date de fin
4 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 16, 2025, 11:41 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic challenger JoAnna Mendoza holds a strong position in Arizona’s 6th Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election, driven by the broader national environment favoring Democrats in the 2026 midterms. Low presidential approval ratings and a generic ballot advantage for Democrats have pressured the Republican incumbent Juan Ciscomani in this swing district that has alternated parties in recent cycles. Mendoza, a Marine veteran, has maintained a fundraising edge, secured key endorsements from Arizona senators and groups like EMILY’s List and VoteVets, and benefited from earlier polling showing narrow leads that have widened in internal surveys. Attack ads from both campaigns focus on record and background issues, yet trader consensus reflects the district’s recent Democratic lean in statewide contests and the structural headwinds facing the GOP majority defense.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$11,789Date de fin
4 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 16, 2025, 11:41 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic challenger JoAnna Mendoza holds a strong position in Arizona’s 6th Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election, driven by the broader national environment favoring Democrats in the 2026 midterms. Low presidential approval ratings and a generic ballot advantage for Democrats have pressured the Republican incumbent Juan Ciscomani in this swing district that has alternated parties in recent cycles. Mendoza, a Marine veteran, has maintained a fundraising edge, secured key endorsements from Arizona senators and groups like EMILY’s List and VoteVets, and benefited from earlier polling showing narrow leads that have widened in internal surveys. Attack ads from both campaigns focus on record and background issues, yet trader consensus reflects the district’s recent Democratic lean in statewide contests and the structural headwinds facing the GOP majority defense.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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