Adelita Grijalva (D), the incumbent who won a September 2025 special election to succeed her late father, holds a commanding position in Arizona’s 7th district. The seat covers a majority-Hispanic border region including parts of Tucson and Yuma, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index of roughly D+13. Independent race ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the contest as Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the July 21 primary and November general election. Grijalva’s prior margin and the district’s consistent voting patterns underpin trader consensus that the Democratic nominee will prevail. A Republican upset would require an unforeseen national wave, a serious personal or ethical issue affecting the incumbent, or an unusually weak Democratic primary performance—developments not indicated by current filings or historical results.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourAZ-07 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
AZ-07 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
$12,503 Vol.
$12,503 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
94%
Parti républicain
6%
$12,503 Vol.
$12,503 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
$4,596 Vol.
94%
Parti républicain
$7,907 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Adelita Grijalva (D), the incumbent who won a September 2025 special election to succeed her late father, holds a commanding position in Arizona’s 7th district. The seat covers a majority-Hispanic border region including parts of Tucson and Yuma, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index of roughly D+13. Independent race ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the contest as Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the July 21 primary and November general election. Grijalva’s prior margin and the district’s consistent voting patterns underpin trader consensus that the Democratic nominee will prevail. A Republican upset would require an unforeseen national wave, a serious personal or ethical issue affecting the incumbent, or an unusually weak Democratic primary performance—developments not indicated by current filings or historical results.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
Volume
$12,503Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Adelita Grijalva (D), the incumbent who won a September 2025 special election to succeed her late father, holds a commanding position in Arizona’s 7th district. The seat covers a majority-Hispanic border region including parts of Tucson and Yuma, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index of roughly D+13. Independent race ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the contest as Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the July 21 primary and November general election. Grijalva’s prior margin and the district’s consistent voting patterns underpin trader consensus that the Democratic nominee will prevail. A Republican upset would require an unforeseen national wave, a serious personal or ethical issue affecting the incumbent, or an unusually weak Democratic primary performance—developments not indicated by current filings or historical results.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$12,503Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Adelita Grijalva (D), the incumbent who won a September 2025 special election to succeed her late father, holds a commanding position in Arizona’s 7th district. The seat covers a majority-Hispanic border region including parts of Tucson and Yuma, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index of roughly D+13. Independent race ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the contest as Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the July 21 primary and November general election. Grijalva’s prior margin and the district’s consistent voting patterns underpin trader consensus that the Democratic nominee will prevail. A Republican upset would require an unforeseen national wave, a serious personal or ethical issue affecting the incumbent, or an unusually weak Democratic primary performance—developments not indicated by current filings or historical results.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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