Adelita Grijalva's incumbency in Arizona's 7th Congressional District anchors the Democratic Party's commanding 92.5% trader consensus, backed by the seat's D+13 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic ratings from nonpartisan forecasters. The majority-Hispanic district along the Mexico border, including portions of Tucson and Yuma, has delivered large Democratic margins in recent cycles, including Grijalva's 2025 special election victory to succeed her late father. With the July 21, 2026, primary and November general election approaching, Republican nominee Daniel Butierez faces structural barriers in a low-turnout environment favoring the incumbent's established fundraising and name recognition. Late developments such as a major scandal, candidate health issue, or national political shift could still alter outcomes before voters decide.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourAZ-07 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
AZ-07 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
$10,303 Vol.
$10,303 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
93%
Parti républicain
7%
$10,303 Vol.
$10,303 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
$3,996 Vol.
93%
Parti républicain
$6,307 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Adelita Grijalva's incumbency in Arizona's 7th Congressional District anchors the Democratic Party's commanding 92.5% trader consensus, backed by the seat's D+13 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic ratings from nonpartisan forecasters. The majority-Hispanic district along the Mexico border, including portions of Tucson and Yuma, has delivered large Democratic margins in recent cycles, including Grijalva's 2025 special election victory to succeed her late father. With the July 21, 2026, primary and November general election approaching, Republican nominee Daniel Butierez faces structural barriers in a low-turnout environment favoring the incumbent's established fundraising and name recognition. Late developments such as a major scandal, candidate health issue, or national political shift could still alter outcomes before voters decide.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
Volume
$10,303Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Adelita Grijalva's incumbency in Arizona's 7th Congressional District anchors the Democratic Party's commanding 92.5% trader consensus, backed by the seat's D+13 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic ratings from nonpartisan forecasters. The majority-Hispanic district along the Mexico border, including portions of Tucson and Yuma, has delivered large Democratic margins in recent cycles, including Grijalva's 2025 special election victory to succeed her late father. With the July 21, 2026, primary and November general election approaching, Republican nominee Daniel Butierez faces structural barriers in a low-turnout environment favoring the incumbent's established fundraising and name recognition. Late developments such as a major scandal, candidate health issue, or national political shift could still alter outcomes before voters decide.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$10,303Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Adelita Grijalva's incumbency in Arizona's 7th Congressional District anchors the Democratic Party's commanding 92.5% trader consensus, backed by the seat's D+13 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic ratings from nonpartisan forecasters. The majority-Hispanic district along the Mexico border, including portions of Tucson and Yuma, has delivered large Democratic margins in recent cycles, including Grijalva's 2025 special election victory to succeed her late father. With the July 21, 2026, primary and November general election approaching, Republican nominee Daniel Butierez faces structural barriers in a low-turnout environment favoring the incumbent's established fundraising and name recognition. Late developments such as a major scandal, candidate health issue, or national political shift could still alter outcomes before voters decide.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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