Arizona's 8th congressional district, encompassing northern and western Phoenix suburbs including parts of Glendale and Peoria, carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+8 and has been rated Solid or Safe Republican by forecasters including Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Incumbent Republican Abraham Hamadeh, who won the seat in 2024 with 56.5% of the vote, faces limited primary opposition ahead of the July 21, 2026, nominating contests and benefits from the district's consistent Republican tilt in recent presidential and congressional cycles. Democratic primary candidates, including Bernadette Greene Placentia and Raymond Keeler, operate in a minority party position within the R+8 electorate, constraining general election prospects despite the open filing window. The 78.5% Republican trader consensus reflects this structural advantage and lack of recent developments that would alter the district's baseline partisan lean or incumbent positioning before November 3.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourAZ-08 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
AZ-08 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
79%
Parti démocrate
21%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
$2,407 Vol.
79%
Parti démocrate
$2,846 Vol.
21%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Arizona's 8th congressional district, encompassing northern and western Phoenix suburbs including parts of Glendale and Peoria, carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+8 and has been rated Solid or Safe Republican by forecasters including Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Incumbent Republican Abraham Hamadeh, who won the seat in 2024 with 56.5% of the vote, faces limited primary opposition ahead of the July 21, 2026, nominating contests and benefits from the district's consistent Republican tilt in recent presidential and congressional cycles. Democratic primary candidates, including Bernadette Greene Placentia and Raymond Keeler, operate in a minority party position within the R+8 electorate, constraining general election prospects despite the open filing window. The 78.5% Republican trader consensus reflects this structural advantage and lack of recent developments that would alter the district's baseline partisan lean or incumbent positioning before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
Volume
$5,253Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Arizona's 8th congressional district, encompassing northern and western Phoenix suburbs including parts of Glendale and Peoria, carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+8 and has been rated Solid or Safe Republican by forecasters including Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Incumbent Republican Abraham Hamadeh, who won the seat in 2024 with 56.5% of the vote, faces limited primary opposition ahead of the July 21, 2026, nominating contests and benefits from the district's consistent Republican tilt in recent presidential and congressional cycles. Democratic primary candidates, including Bernadette Greene Placentia and Raymond Keeler, operate in a minority party position within the R+8 electorate, constraining general election prospects despite the open filing window. The 78.5% Republican trader consensus reflects this structural advantage and lack of recent developments that would alter the district's baseline partisan lean or incumbent positioning before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$5,253Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Arizona's 8th congressional district, encompassing northern and western Phoenix suburbs including parts of Glendale and Peoria, carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+8 and has been rated Solid or Safe Republican by forecasters including Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Incumbent Republican Abraham Hamadeh, who won the seat in 2024 with 56.5% of the vote, faces limited primary opposition ahead of the July 21, 2026, nominating contests and benefits from the district's consistent Republican tilt in recent presidential and congressional cycles. Democratic primary candidates, including Bernadette Greene Placentia and Raymond Keeler, operate in a minority party position within the R+8 electorate, constraining general election prospects despite the open filing window. The 78.5% Republican trader consensus reflects this structural advantage and lack of recent developments that would alter the district's baseline partisan lean or incumbent positioning before November 3.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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