Republican nominee Mark Lamb, a former Pinal County sheriff with statewide name recognition from his prior Senate campaign, won the July 21 primary and enters the November 3 general election in Arizona’s 5th District as the clear favorite. The East Valley seat, anchored in conservative strongholds such as Gilbert along with portions of Chandler and Mesa, carries a Solid Republican rating from the Cook Political Report and delivered 60.4% for retiring incumbent Andy Biggs in 2024. Democratic nominee Elizabeth Lee secured her primary but faces structural headwinds in a district with a partisan voting index favoring the GOP and limited recent polling movement. Trader consensus of 87.5% Republican probability reflects the seat’s consistent electoral history, fundraising and organizational advantages for the nominee, and absence of major developments that would shift the competitive landscape ahead of Election Day.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourAZ-05 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
AZ-05 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
$24,172 Vol.
$24,172 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
88%
Parti démocrate
11%
$24,172 Vol.
$24,172 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
$16,517 Vol.
88%
Parti démocrate
$7,656 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican nominee Mark Lamb, a former Pinal County sheriff with statewide name recognition from his prior Senate campaign, won the July 21 primary and enters the November 3 general election in Arizona’s 5th District as the clear favorite. The East Valley seat, anchored in conservative strongholds such as Gilbert along with portions of Chandler and Mesa, carries a Solid Republican rating from the Cook Political Report and delivered 60.4% for retiring incumbent Andy Biggs in 2024. Democratic nominee Elizabeth Lee secured her primary but faces structural headwinds in a district with a partisan voting index favoring the GOP and limited recent polling movement. Trader consensus of 87.5% Republican probability reflects the seat’s consistent electoral history, fundraising and organizational advantages for the nominee, and absence of major developments that would shift the competitive landscape ahead of Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
Volume
$24,172Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican nominee Mark Lamb, a former Pinal County sheriff with statewide name recognition from his prior Senate campaign, won the July 21 primary and enters the November 3 general election in Arizona’s 5th District as the clear favorite. The East Valley seat, anchored in conservative strongholds such as Gilbert along with portions of Chandler and Mesa, carries a Solid Republican rating from the Cook Political Report and delivered 60.4% for retiring incumbent Andy Biggs in 2024. Democratic nominee Elizabeth Lee secured her primary but faces structural headwinds in a district with a partisan voting index favoring the GOP and limited recent polling movement. Trader consensus of 87.5% Republican probability reflects the seat’s consistent electoral history, fundraising and organizational advantages for the nominee, and absence of major developments that would shift the competitive landscape ahead of Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$24,172Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican nominee Mark Lamb, a former Pinal County sheriff with statewide name recognition from his prior Senate campaign, won the July 21 primary and enters the November 3 general election in Arizona’s 5th District as the clear favorite. The East Valley seat, anchored in conservative strongholds such as Gilbert along with portions of Chandler and Mesa, carries a Solid Republican rating from the Cook Political Report and delivered 60.4% for retiring incumbent Andy Biggs in 2024. Democratic nominee Elizabeth Lee secured her primary but faces structural headwinds in a district with a partisan voting index favoring the GOP and limited recent polling movement. Trader consensus of 87.5% Republican probability reflects the seat’s consistent electoral history, fundraising and organizational advantages for the nominee, and absence of major developments that would shift the competitive landscape ahead of Election Day.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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