Mississippi’s 3rd congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+14 and has delivered Republican victories by wide margins in every general election since 2010. Incumbent Representative Michael Guest secured the Republican nomination without primary opposition in March 2026, while Democrat Michael Chiaradio advanced unopposed on the other side. These structural factors—longstanding Republican dominance, incumbency, and an absence of competitive primary dynamics—underpin trader consensus that the Republican nominee will prevail on November 3. Late developments capable of narrowing the gap remain limited to an unforeseen scandal, significant health event, or dramatic national political shift capable of overriding the district’s established voting patterns.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur du MS-03 House Election
Vainqueur du MS-03 House Election
$33,904 Vol.
$33,904 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
94%
Parti démocrate
6%
$33,904 Vol.
$33,904 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
$8,585 Vol.
94%
Parti démocrate
$25,320 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Mississippi’s 3rd congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+14 and has delivered Republican victories by wide margins in every general election since 2010. Incumbent Representative Michael Guest secured the Republican nomination without primary opposition in March 2026, while Democrat Michael Chiaradio advanced unopposed on the other side. These structural factors—longstanding Republican dominance, incumbency, and an absence of competitive primary dynamics—underpin trader consensus that the Republican nominee will prevail on November 3. Late developments capable of narrowing the gap remain limited to an unforeseen scandal, significant health event, or dramatic national political shift capable of overriding the district’s established voting patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volume
$33,904Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Mississippi’s 3rd congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+14 and has delivered Republican victories by wide margins in every general election since 2010. Incumbent Representative Michael Guest secured the Republican nomination without primary opposition in March 2026, while Democrat Michael Chiaradio advanced unopposed on the other side. These structural factors—longstanding Republican dominance, incumbency, and an absence of competitive primary dynamics—underpin trader consensus that the Republican nominee will prevail on November 3. Late developments capable of narrowing the gap remain limited to an unforeseen scandal, significant health event, or dramatic national political shift capable of overriding the district’s established voting patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$33,904Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Mississippi’s 3rd congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+14 and has delivered Republican victories by wide margins in every general election since 2010. Incumbent Representative Michael Guest secured the Republican nomination without primary opposition in March 2026, while Democrat Michael Chiaradio advanced unopposed on the other side. These structural factors—longstanding Republican dominance, incumbency, and an absence of competitive primary dynamics—underpin trader consensus that the Republican nominee will prevail on November 3. Late developments capable of narrowing the gap remain limited to an unforeseen scandal, significant health event, or dramatic national political shift capable of overriding the district’s established voting patterns.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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