Incumbent Republican Michael Guest advanced unopposed through the March 2026 primary in Mississippi’s 3rd congressional district, a seat rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report and carrying a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+14. The district’s consistent Republican performance in recent presidential and House elections, combined with limited Democratic recruitment and fundraising, underpins trader consensus favoring a Republican hold in the November general election. Historical base rates for incumbent re-election in similarly partisan districts reinforce this positioning. A major scandal, unexpected health event, or national political shift of unusual magnitude would be required to meaningfully alter the current outlook.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur du MS-03 House Election
Vainqueur du MS-03 House Election
$33,904 Vol.
$33,904 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
94%
Parti démocrate
6%
$33,904 Vol.
$33,904 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
$8,585 Vol.
94%
Parti démocrate
$25,320 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Michael Guest advanced unopposed through the March 2026 primary in Mississippi’s 3rd congressional district, a seat rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report and carrying a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+14. The district’s consistent Republican performance in recent presidential and House elections, combined with limited Democratic recruitment and fundraising, underpins trader consensus favoring a Republican hold in the November general election. Historical base rates for incumbent re-election in similarly partisan districts reinforce this positioning. A major scandal, unexpected health event, or national political shift of unusual magnitude would be required to meaningfully alter the current outlook.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volume
$33,904Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Michael Guest advanced unopposed through the March 2026 primary in Mississippi’s 3rd congressional district, a seat rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report and carrying a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+14. The district’s consistent Republican performance in recent presidential and House elections, combined with limited Democratic recruitment and fundraising, underpins trader consensus favoring a Republican hold in the November general election. Historical base rates for incumbent re-election in similarly partisan districts reinforce this positioning. A major scandal, unexpected health event, or national political shift of unusual magnitude would be required to meaningfully alter the current outlook.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$33,904Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Michael Guest advanced unopposed through the March 2026 primary in Mississippi’s 3rd congressional district, a seat rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report and carrying a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+14. The district’s consistent Republican performance in recent presidential and House elections, combined with limited Democratic recruitment and fundraising, underpins trader consensus favoring a Republican hold in the November general election. Historical base rates for incumbent re-election in similarly partisan districts reinforce this positioning. A major scandal, unexpected health event, or national political shift of unusual magnitude would be required to meaningfully alter the current outlook.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes