Democratic incumbent Kelly Morrison holds a commanding position in Minnesota's 3rd congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election, consistent with the district's D+11 Partisan Voter Index and recent performance where she secured 58% in 2024. Forecasters across Cook Political Report, Decision Desk HQ, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the August 11 primaries. Republican contenders Tyler Bass and Quentin Wittrock remain early in their nomination contest with limited visibility in a suburban Twin Cities district that has favored Democrats in recent cycles. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these structural factors, though late developments such as primary outcomes, national midterm dynamics, or candidate-specific events could still influence final margins.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourMN-03 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
MN-03 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
$17,141 Vol.
$17,141 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
94%
Parti républicain
6%
$17,141 Vol.
$17,141 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
$7,709 Vol.
94%
Parti républicain
$9,432 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Kelly Morrison holds a commanding position in Minnesota's 3rd congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election, consistent with the district's D+11 Partisan Voter Index and recent performance where she secured 58% in 2024. Forecasters across Cook Political Report, Decision Desk HQ, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the August 11 primaries. Republican contenders Tyler Bass and Quentin Wittrock remain early in their nomination contest with limited visibility in a suburban Twin Cities district that has favored Democrats in recent cycles. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these structural factors, though late developments such as primary outcomes, national midterm dynamics, or candidate-specific events could still influence final margins.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$17,141Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Kelly Morrison holds a commanding position in Minnesota's 3rd congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election, consistent with the district's D+11 Partisan Voter Index and recent performance where she secured 58% in 2024. Forecasters across Cook Political Report, Decision Desk HQ, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the August 11 primaries. Republican contenders Tyler Bass and Quentin Wittrock remain early in their nomination contest with limited visibility in a suburban Twin Cities district that has favored Democrats in recent cycles. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these structural factors, though late developments such as primary outcomes, national midterm dynamics, or candidate-specific events could still influence final margins.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$17,141Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic incumbent Kelly Morrison holds a commanding position in Minnesota's 3rd congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election, consistent with the district's D+11 Partisan Voter Index and recent performance where she secured 58% in 2024. Forecasters across Cook Political Report, Decision Desk HQ, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the August 11 primaries. Republican contenders Tyler Bass and Quentin Wittrock remain early in their nomination contest with limited visibility in a suburban Twin Cities district that has favored Democrats in recent cycles. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these structural factors, though late developments such as primary outcomes, national midterm dynamics, or candidate-specific events could still influence final margins.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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