Mississippi’s 1st congressional district has long favored Republican candidates due to its conservative voter base and electoral history, giving incumbent Representative Trent Kelly a strong structural edge heading into the November 2026 general election. Kelly secured the GOP nomination after the March primaries and faces Democratic nominee Cliff Johnson, who won his party’s primary but confronts limited resources and turnout challenges in this solidly Republican territory. Trader consensus reflected in the current odds aligns with these fundamentals, including the district’s consistent support for Republican House candidates in recent cycles. Late-breaking developments such as major scandals, candidate health issues, or unexpected national shifts could still narrow the margin, though such factors remain low-probability events at this stage.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur du MS-01 House Election
Vainqueur du MS-01 House Election
$109,848 Vol.
$109,848 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
94%
Parti démocrate
3%
$109,848 Vol.
$109,848 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
$78,142 Vol.
94%
Parti démocrate
$31,706 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Mississippi’s 1st congressional district has long favored Republican candidates due to its conservative voter base and electoral history, giving incumbent Representative Trent Kelly a strong structural edge heading into the November 2026 general election. Kelly secured the GOP nomination after the March primaries and faces Democratic nominee Cliff Johnson, who won his party’s primary but confronts limited resources and turnout challenges in this solidly Republican territory. Trader consensus reflected in the current odds aligns with these fundamentals, including the district’s consistent support for Republican House candidates in recent cycles. Late-breaking developments such as major scandals, candidate health issues, or unexpected national shifts could still narrow the margin, though such factors remain low-probability events at this stage.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volume
$109,848Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Mississippi’s 1st congressional district has long favored Republican candidates due to its conservative voter base and electoral history, giving incumbent Representative Trent Kelly a strong structural edge heading into the November 2026 general election. Kelly secured the GOP nomination after the March primaries and faces Democratic nominee Cliff Johnson, who won his party’s primary but confronts limited resources and turnout challenges in this solidly Republican territory. Trader consensus reflected in the current odds aligns with these fundamentals, including the district’s consistent support for Republican House candidates in recent cycles. Late-breaking developments such as major scandals, candidate health issues, or unexpected national shifts could still narrow the margin, though such factors remain low-probability events at this stage.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$109,848Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Mississippi’s 1st congressional district has long favored Republican candidates due to its conservative voter base and electoral history, giving incumbent Representative Trent Kelly a strong structural edge heading into the November 2026 general election. Kelly secured the GOP nomination after the March primaries and faces Democratic nominee Cliff Johnson, who won his party’s primary but confronts limited resources and turnout challenges in this solidly Republican territory. Trader consensus reflected in the current odds aligns with these fundamentals, including the district’s consistent support for Republican House candidates in recent cycles. Late-breaking developments such as major scandals, candidate health issues, or unexpected national shifts could still narrow the margin, though such factors remain low-probability events at this stage.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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