Mississippi’s 2nd congressional district remains a solidly Democratic seat, reflected in trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 89%. Incumbent Bennie Thompson secured renomination in the March 2026 Democratic primary with over 86% of the vote, facing minimal opposition. The district’s D+11 partisan voting index and concentration of Democratic voters in the Delta and Jackson area have produced consistent double-digit margins for Thompson, including 62% in 2024. Republican nominee Ron Eller, who won his primary, faces the same structural barriers that have kept the seat out of reach in recent cycles. Cook Political Report rates the race Solid Democratic, with no major developments since the primaries altering the outlook ahead of the November general election.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre MS-02
Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre MS-02
$26,095 Vol.
$26,095 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
89%
Parti républicain
10%
$26,095 Vol.
$26,095 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
$13,768 Vol.
89%
Parti républicain
$12,327 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Mississippi’s 2nd congressional district remains a solidly Democratic seat, reflected in trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 89%. Incumbent Bennie Thompson secured renomination in the March 2026 Democratic primary with over 86% of the vote, facing minimal opposition. The district’s D+11 partisan voting index and concentration of Democratic voters in the Delta and Jackson area have produced consistent double-digit margins for Thompson, including 62% in 2024. Republican nominee Ron Eller, who won his primary, faces the same structural barriers that have kept the seat out of reach in recent cycles. Cook Political Report rates the race Solid Democratic, with no major developments since the primaries altering the outlook ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volume
$26,095Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Mississippi’s 2nd congressional district remains a solidly Democratic seat, reflected in trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 89%. Incumbent Bennie Thompson secured renomination in the March 2026 Democratic primary with over 86% of the vote, facing minimal opposition. The district’s D+11 partisan voting index and concentration of Democratic voters in the Delta and Jackson area have produced consistent double-digit margins for Thompson, including 62% in 2024. Republican nominee Ron Eller, who won his primary, faces the same structural barriers that have kept the seat out of reach in recent cycles. Cook Political Report rates the race Solid Democratic, with no major developments since the primaries altering the outlook ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$26,095Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Mississippi’s 2nd congressional district remains a solidly Democratic seat, reflected in trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 89%. Incumbent Bennie Thompson secured renomination in the March 2026 Democratic primary with over 86% of the vote, facing minimal opposition. The district’s D+11 partisan voting index and concentration of Democratic voters in the Delta and Jackson area have produced consistent double-digit margins for Thompson, including 62% in 2024. Republican nominee Ron Eller, who won his primary, faces the same structural barriers that have kept the seat out of reach in recent cycles. Cook Political Report rates the race Solid Democratic, with no major developments since the primaries altering the outlook ahead of the November general election.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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