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icon for Gagnant de l'élection à la Chambre NC-08
Politique·Élections Du 4 Novembre

Gagnant de l'élection à la Chambre NC-08

icon for Gagnant de l'élection à la Chambre NC-08
Politique·Élections Du 4 Novembre

Gagnant de l'élection à la Chambre NC-08

Polymarket

$24,647 Vol.

Polymarket

$24,647 Vol.

Mark Harris (R)

$9,559 Vol.

92%

Colby Watson (D)

$15,088 Vol.

9%

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Mark Harris holds a commanding lead in the NC-08 race due to the district's established Republican tilt, his incumbency since 2025, and consistent fundraising advantage exceeding $1 million compared to Colby Watson's under $40,000. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as solid or safe Republican ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election. Watson secured the Democratic nomination in the March primary but faces structural barriers in a district that delivered a double-digit Republican margin in 2024. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, with limited recent developments such as routine legislative activity unlikely to alter the trajectory. A major national partisan shift, candidate-specific scandal, or unexpected turnout surge could narrow the gap, though historical patterns in comparable districts suggest such reversals remain uncommon this close to election day.

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.

​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$24,647
Date de fin
3 nov. 2026
Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET

Résolveur

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Mark Harris holds a commanding lead in the NC-08 race due to the district's established Republican tilt, his incumbency since 2025, and consistent fundraising advantage exceeding $1 million compared to Colby Watson's under $40,000. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as solid or safe Republican ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election. Watson secured the Democratic nomination in the March primary but faces structural barriers in a district that delivered a double-digit Republican margin in 2024. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, with limited recent developments such as routine legislative activity unlikely to alter the trajectory. A major national partisan shift, candidate-specific scandal, or unexpected turnout surge could narrow the gap, though historical patterns in comparable districts suggest such reversals remain uncommon this close to election day.

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.

​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$24,647
Date de fin
3 nov. 2026
Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET

Résolveur

0x2F5e3684c...

Connexes

icon for Le Parti républicain remportera-t-il le siège de la Chambre pour la circonscription NC-07 ?

Le Parti républicain remportera-t-il le siège de la Chambre pour la circonscription NC-07 ?

84%
Oui
icon for Le Parti républicain va-t-il remporter le siège de la Chambre pour la circonscription NC-09 ?

Le Parti républicain va-t-il remporter le siège de la Chambre pour la circonscription NC-09 ?

73%
Oui
icon for Le Parti démocrate remportera-t-il le siège de la Chambre pour le district VA-08 ?

Le Parti démocrate remportera-t-il le siège de la Chambre pour le district VA-08 ?

96%
Oui

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Gagnant de l'élection à la Chambre NC-08 » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 2 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Mark Harris (R) » à 92%, suivi de « Colby Watson (D) » à 9%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 92¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 92% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Gagnant de l'élection à la Chambre NC-08 » a généré $24.6K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Jan 28, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Gagnant de l'élection à la Chambre NC-08 », parcourez les 2 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Gagnant de l'élection à la Chambre NC-08 » est « Mark Harris (R) » à 92%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 92% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Colby Watson (D) » à 9%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Gagnant de l'élection à la Chambre NC-08 » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.