Matt Little secured the Democratic nomination for Minnesota’s open 2nd congressional district seat after winning the August primary with a clear plurality, positioning him as the strong favorite in a district that has trended more Democratic in recent cycles. The seat became vacant when incumbent Angie Craig opted to run for Senate instead. Little’s general-election matchup against Republican state Sen. Eric Pratt features a projected 9- to 10-point Democratic edge in available polling and “Likely Democratic” ratings from major forecasters. Trader consensus at 93% for Little reflects the district’s partisan baseline, Democratic primary consolidation, and limited Republican investment. A narrow Republican path would require major late-cycle shifts such as a significant scandal, sharp national economic deterioration, or unusually high Republican turnout in suburban and exurban areas that have leaned Democratic in recent House contests.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$31,592 Vol.
$31,592 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Matt Little (D)
93%
Eric Pratt (R)
6%
$31,592 Vol.
$31,592 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Matt Little (D)
$10,079 Vol.
93%
Eric Pratt (R)
$21,513 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Matt Little secured the Democratic nomination for Minnesota’s open 2nd congressional district seat after winning the August primary with a clear plurality, positioning him as the strong favorite in a district that has trended more Democratic in recent cycles. The seat became vacant when incumbent Angie Craig opted to run for Senate instead. Little’s general-election matchup against Republican state Sen. Eric Pratt features a projected 9- to 10-point Democratic edge in available polling and “Likely Democratic” ratings from major forecasters. Trader consensus at 93% for Little reflects the district’s partisan baseline, Democratic primary consolidation, and limited Republican investment. A narrow Republican path would require major late-cycle shifts such as a significant scandal, sharp national economic deterioration, or unusually high Republican turnout in suburban and exurban areas that have leaned Democratic in recent House contests.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ET
Volume
$31,592Date de fin
4 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Matt Little secured the Democratic nomination for Minnesota’s open 2nd congressional district seat after winning the August primary with a clear plurality, positioning him as the strong favorite in a district that has trended more Democratic in recent cycles. The seat became vacant when incumbent Angie Craig opted to run for Senate instead. Little’s general-election matchup against Republican state Sen. Eric Pratt features a projected 9- to 10-point Democratic edge in available polling and “Likely Democratic” ratings from major forecasters. Trader consensus at 93% for Little reflects the district’s partisan baseline, Democratic primary consolidation, and limited Republican investment. A narrow Republican path would require major late-cycle shifts such as a significant scandal, sharp national economic deterioration, or unusually high Republican turnout in suburban and exurban areas that have leaned Democratic in recent House contests.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$31,592Date de fin
4 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...Matt Little secured the Democratic nomination for Minnesota’s open 2nd congressional district seat after winning the August primary with a clear plurality, positioning him as the strong favorite in a district that has trended more Democratic in recent cycles. The seat became vacant when incumbent Angie Craig opted to run for Senate instead. Little’s general-election matchup against Republican state Sen. Eric Pratt features a projected 9- to 10-point Democratic edge in available polling and “Likely Democratic” ratings from major forecasters. Trader consensus at 93% for Little reflects the district’s partisan baseline, Democratic primary consolidation, and limited Republican investment. A narrow Republican path would require major late-cycle shifts such as a significant scandal, sharp national economic deterioration, or unusually high Republican turnout in suburban and exurban areas that have leaned Democratic in recent House contests.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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