Minnesota's 2nd congressional district remains a Democratic-leaning seat in the southern Twin Cities suburbs following incumbent Angie Craig's decision to retire and seek the U.S. Senate. The district's voting history, including Craig's 55.5% victory in 2024, underpins the strong Democratic frontrunner status ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. With the Democratic primary set for August 11 featuring endorsed contenders such as Matt Little alongside Kaela Berg and Matt Klein, party unity and fundraising advantages have solidified trader expectations. Republicans have yet to surface a high-profile challenger, keeping their implied probability low. Shifts could occur if the GOP recruits a compelling nominee, if primary divisions weaken the Democratic ticket, or if national midterm dynamics alter turnout in this battleground suburban area.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourMN-02 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
MN-02 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
$18,278 Vol.
$18,278 Vol.
4 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
91%
Parti républicain
9%
$18,278 Vol.
$18,278 Vol.
4 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
$8,245 Vol.
91%
Parti républicain
$10,033 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Minnesota's 2nd congressional district remains a Democratic-leaning seat in the southern Twin Cities suburbs following incumbent Angie Craig's decision to retire and seek the U.S. Senate. The district's voting history, including Craig's 55.5% victory in 2024, underpins the strong Democratic frontrunner status ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. With the Democratic primary set for August 11 featuring endorsed contenders such as Matt Little alongside Kaela Berg and Matt Klein, party unity and fundraising advantages have solidified trader expectations. Republicans have yet to surface a high-profile challenger, keeping their implied probability low. Shifts could occur if the GOP recruits a compelling nominee, if primary divisions weaken the Democratic ticket, or if national midterm dynamics alter turnout in this battleground suburban area.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ET
Volume
$18,278Date de fin
4 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Minnesota's 2nd congressional district remains a Democratic-leaning seat in the southern Twin Cities suburbs following incumbent Angie Craig's decision to retire and seek the U.S. Senate. The district's voting history, including Craig's 55.5% victory in 2024, underpins the strong Democratic frontrunner status ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. With the Democratic primary set for August 11 featuring endorsed contenders such as Matt Little alongside Kaela Berg and Matt Klein, party unity and fundraising advantages have solidified trader expectations. Republicans have yet to surface a high-profile challenger, keeping their implied probability low. Shifts could occur if the GOP recruits a compelling nominee, if primary divisions weaken the Democratic ticket, or if national midterm dynamics alter turnout in this battleground suburban area.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$18,278Date de fin
4 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Minnesota's 2nd congressional district remains a Democratic-leaning seat in the southern Twin Cities suburbs following incumbent Angie Craig's decision to retire and seek the U.S. Senate. The district's voting history, including Craig's 55.5% victory in 2024, underpins the strong Democratic frontrunner status ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. With the Democratic primary set for August 11 featuring endorsed contenders such as Matt Little alongside Kaela Berg and Matt Klein, party unity and fundraising advantages have solidified trader expectations. Republicans have yet to surface a high-profile challenger, keeping their implied probability low. Shifts could occur if the GOP recruits a compelling nominee, if primary divisions weaken the Democratic ticket, or if national midterm dynamics alter turnout in this battleground suburban area.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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