The open seat in Minnesota’s 2nd congressional district, created by incumbent Democrat Angie Craig’s Senate bid, anchors trader pricing, with the district’s D+3 Partisan Voter Index and “Likely Democratic” ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball supporting the Democratic Party’s 55% implied probability. Democratic primary dynamics, including Matt Little’s May 2026 endorsement and early polling leads, reinforce expectations that the nominee will benefit from suburban Twin Cities trends favoring the party. Republican primary contenders such as Eric Pratt face structural headwinds in a district that has trended Democratic in recent cycles, aligning with their lower 24.1% market share. With primaries still months away and no major late-breaking shifts reported, traders appear to price modest uncertainty around nominee quality and national midterm conditions while viewing a Democratic hold as the baseline outcome.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourMN-02 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
MN-02 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
4 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
66%
Parti républicain
24%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
4 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
$123 Vol.
66%
Parti républicain
$156 Vol.
24%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat in Minnesota’s 2nd congressional district, created by incumbent Democrat Angie Craig’s Senate bid, anchors trader pricing, with the district’s D+3 Partisan Voter Index and “Likely Democratic” ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball supporting the Democratic Party’s 55% implied probability. Democratic primary dynamics, including Matt Little’s May 2026 endorsement and early polling leads, reinforce expectations that the nominee will benefit from suburban Twin Cities trends favoring the party. Republican primary contenders such as Eric Pratt face structural headwinds in a district that has trended Democratic in recent cycles, aligning with their lower 24.1% market share. With primaries still months away and no major late-breaking shifts reported, traders appear to price modest uncertainty around nominee quality and national midterm conditions while viewing a Democratic hold as the baseline outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ET
Volume
$279Date de fin
4 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat in Minnesota’s 2nd congressional district, created by incumbent Democrat Angie Craig’s Senate bid, anchors trader pricing, with the district’s D+3 Partisan Voter Index and “Likely Democratic” ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball supporting the Democratic Party’s 55% implied probability. Democratic primary dynamics, including Matt Little’s May 2026 endorsement and early polling leads, reinforce expectations that the nominee will benefit from suburban Twin Cities trends favoring the party. Republican primary contenders such as Eric Pratt face structural headwinds in a district that has trended Democratic in recent cycles, aligning with their lower 24.1% market share. With primaries still months away and no major late-breaking shifts reported, traders appear to price modest uncertainty around nominee quality and national midterm conditions while viewing a Democratic hold as the baseline outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$279Date de fin
4 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The open seat in Minnesota’s 2nd congressional district, created by incumbent Democrat Angie Craig’s Senate bid, anchors trader pricing, with the district’s D+3 Partisan Voter Index and “Likely Democratic” ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball supporting the Democratic Party’s 55% implied probability. Democratic primary dynamics, including Matt Little’s May 2026 endorsement and early polling leads, reinforce expectations that the nominee will benefit from suburban Twin Cities trends favoring the party. Republican primary contenders such as Eric Pratt face structural headwinds in a district that has trended Democratic in recent cycles, aligning with their lower 24.1% market share. With primaries still months away and no major late-breaking shifts reported, traders appear to price modest uncertainty around nominee quality and national midterm conditions while viewing a Democratic hold as the baseline outcome.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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