Incumbent Republican Brian Babin secured his party's nomination with over 81 percent in the March 2026 primary and enters the November general election against Democrat Rhonda Hart in a district rated Solid Republican by major forecasters, reflecting an R+18 partisan lean and consistent Republican performance in recent cycles. Primary results and limited Democratic fundraising have reinforced trader views that structural advantages favor the GOP nominee. The race lacks competitive polling or national attention that might shift odds. A Republican victory could still be disrupted by an unforeseen personal scandal affecting Babin, a historically large Democratic turnout surge across Texas, or late legal challenges to the 2025 congressional map, though none of these factors appear active as of early September 2026.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTX-36 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
TX-36 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
$28,150 Vol.
$28,150 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
93%
Parti démocrate
8%
$28,150 Vol.
$28,150 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
$8,247 Vol.
93%
Parti démocrate
$19,903 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Brian Babin secured his party's nomination with over 81 percent in the March 2026 primary and enters the November general election against Democrat Rhonda Hart in a district rated Solid Republican by major forecasters, reflecting an R+18 partisan lean and consistent Republican performance in recent cycles. Primary results and limited Democratic fundraising have reinforced trader views that structural advantages favor the GOP nominee. The race lacks competitive polling or national attention that might shift odds. A Republican victory could still be disrupted by an unforeseen personal scandal affecting Babin, a historically large Democratic turnout surge across Texas, or late legal challenges to the 2025 congressional map, though none of these factors appear active as of early September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$28,150Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Brian Babin secured his party's nomination with over 81 percent in the March 2026 primary and enters the November general election against Democrat Rhonda Hart in a district rated Solid Republican by major forecasters, reflecting an R+18 partisan lean and consistent Republican performance in recent cycles. Primary results and limited Democratic fundraising have reinforced trader views that structural advantages favor the GOP nominee. The race lacks competitive polling or national attention that might shift odds. A Republican victory could still be disrupted by an unforeseen personal scandal affecting Babin, a historically large Democratic turnout surge across Texas, or late legal challenges to the 2025 congressional map, though none of these factors appear active as of early September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$28,150Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Brian Babin secured his party's nomination with over 81 percent in the March 2026 primary and enters the November general election against Democrat Rhonda Hart in a district rated Solid Republican by major forecasters, reflecting an R+18 partisan lean and consistent Republican performance in recent cycles. Primary results and limited Democratic fundraising have reinforced trader views that structural advantages favor the GOP nominee. The race lacks competitive polling or national attention that might shift odds. A Republican victory could still be disrupted by an unforeseen personal scandal affecting Babin, a historically large Democratic turnout surge across Texas, or late legal challenges to the 2025 congressional map, though none of these factors appear active as of early September 2026.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes