Incumbent Republican Tom Cole secured the party nomination in the June 2026 primary and enters the November general election in Oklahoma’s 4th district with substantial fundraising and name recognition. The district’s strong Republican lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 93.5 percent. Democratic nominee Mitchell Jacob faces structural headwinds in a seat where Republicans have held every House position since 2020. A late scandal, health event, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, yet historical patterns and the absence of competitive polling indicate limited pathways for an upset before Election Day.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourOK-04 Gagnant de l'élection à la Chambre
OK-04 Gagnant de l'élection à la Chambre
$25,295 Vol.
$25,295 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
94%
Parti démocrate
6%
$25,295 Vol.
$25,295 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
$14,515 Vol.
94%
Parti démocrate
$10,780 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Tom Cole secured the party nomination in the June 2026 primary and enters the November general election in Oklahoma’s 4th district with substantial fundraising and name recognition. The district’s strong Republican lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 93.5 percent. Democratic nominee Mitchell Jacob faces structural headwinds in a seat where Republicans have held every House position since 2020. A late scandal, health event, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, yet historical patterns and the absence of competitive polling indicate limited pathways for an upset before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$25,295Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Tom Cole secured the party nomination in the June 2026 primary and enters the November general election in Oklahoma’s 4th district with substantial fundraising and name recognition. The district’s strong Republican lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 93.5 percent. Democratic nominee Mitchell Jacob faces structural headwinds in a seat where Republicans have held every House position since 2020. A late scandal, health event, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, yet historical patterns and the absence of competitive polling indicate limited pathways for an upset before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$25,295Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Tom Cole secured the party nomination in the June 2026 primary and enters the November general election in Oklahoma’s 4th district with substantial fundraising and name recognition. The district’s strong Republican lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 93.5 percent. Democratic nominee Mitchell Jacob faces structural headwinds in a seat where Republicans have held every House position since 2020. A late scandal, health event, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, yet historical patterns and the absence of competitive polling indicate limited pathways for an upset before Election Day.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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