Republican incumbent Stephanie Bice faces Democratic nominee Jena Nelson in the November 3 general election for Oklahoma’s 5th congressional district. Bice advanced unopposed after the June 16 Republican primary was canceled, while Nelson prevailed in the Democratic primary. The district, centered on the Oklahoma City metro area, carries a Republican partisan voting index near R+9 and delivered Bice a 20-plus point margin in 2024. Bice’s incumbency, established campaign infrastructure, and substantial cash on hand reinforce trader assessments of a strong Republican position. No major recent developments—such as polling shifts, candidate withdrawals, or external events—have altered the race’s fundamentals since the primaries concluded. The implied probabilities align with historical voting patterns and structural factors in this solidly Republican seat.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourOK-05 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
OK-05 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
$14,610 Vol.
$14,610 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
87%
Parti démocrate
11%
$14,610 Vol.
$14,610 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
$10,339 Vol.
87%
Parti démocrate
$4,271 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Stephanie Bice faces Democratic nominee Jena Nelson in the November 3 general election for Oklahoma’s 5th congressional district. Bice advanced unopposed after the June 16 Republican primary was canceled, while Nelson prevailed in the Democratic primary. The district, centered on the Oklahoma City metro area, carries a Republican partisan voting index near R+9 and delivered Bice a 20-plus point margin in 2024. Bice’s incumbency, established campaign infrastructure, and substantial cash on hand reinforce trader assessments of a strong Republican position. No major recent developments—such as polling shifts, candidate withdrawals, or external events—have altered the race’s fundamentals since the primaries concluded. The implied probabilities align with historical voting patterns and structural factors in this solidly Republican seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$14,610Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Stephanie Bice faces Democratic nominee Jena Nelson in the November 3 general election for Oklahoma’s 5th congressional district. Bice advanced unopposed after the June 16 Republican primary was canceled, while Nelson prevailed in the Democratic primary. The district, centered on the Oklahoma City metro area, carries a Republican partisan voting index near R+9 and delivered Bice a 20-plus point margin in 2024. Bice’s incumbency, established campaign infrastructure, and substantial cash on hand reinforce trader assessments of a strong Republican position. No major recent developments—such as polling shifts, candidate withdrawals, or external events—have altered the race’s fundamentals since the primaries concluded. The implied probabilities align with historical voting patterns and structural factors in this solidly Republican seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$14,610Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent Stephanie Bice faces Democratic nominee Jena Nelson in the November 3 general election for Oklahoma’s 5th congressional district. Bice advanced unopposed after the June 16 Republican primary was canceled, while Nelson prevailed in the Democratic primary. The district, centered on the Oklahoma City metro area, carries a Republican partisan voting index near R+9 and delivered Bice a 20-plus point margin in 2024. Bice’s incumbency, established campaign infrastructure, and substantial cash on hand reinforce trader assessments of a strong Republican position. No major recent developments—such as polling shifts, candidate withdrawals, or external events—have altered the race’s fundamentals since the primaries concluded. The implied probabilities align with historical voting patterns and structural factors in this solidly Republican seat.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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