The strong Democratic lean of Arizona's 3rd congressional district, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voter Index rating of D+22 and the incumbent's 2024 general election margin exceeding 40 points, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Yassamin Ansari, the sitting representative first elected in 2024, faces limited primary opposition ahead of the July 21 contest and enters the general election against minimal Republican challengers, including write-in candidates. Nonpartisan race ratings classify the seat as solid or safe Democratic, consistent with its majority-Latino composition centered in western Phoenix and downtown areas. Late developments such as unexpected primary turnout shifts or major candidate withdrawals could introduce limited volatility before November, though structural factors continue to constrain Republican prospects.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourAZ-03 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
AZ-03 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
$14,717 Vol.
$14,717 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
94%
Parti républicain
6%
$14,717 Vol.
$14,717 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
$9,121 Vol.
94%
Parti républicain
$5,596 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The strong Democratic lean of Arizona's 3rd congressional district, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voter Index rating of D+22 and the incumbent's 2024 general election margin exceeding 40 points, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Yassamin Ansari, the sitting representative first elected in 2024, faces limited primary opposition ahead of the July 21 contest and enters the general election against minimal Republican challengers, including write-in candidates. Nonpartisan race ratings classify the seat as solid or safe Democratic, consistent with its majority-Latino composition centered in western Phoenix and downtown areas. Late developments such as unexpected primary turnout shifts or major candidate withdrawals could introduce limited volatility before November, though structural factors continue to constrain Republican prospects.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
Volume
$14,717Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The strong Democratic lean of Arizona's 3rd congressional district, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voter Index rating of D+22 and the incumbent's 2024 general election margin exceeding 40 points, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Yassamin Ansari, the sitting representative first elected in 2024, faces limited primary opposition ahead of the July 21 contest and enters the general election against minimal Republican challengers, including write-in candidates. Nonpartisan race ratings classify the seat as solid or safe Democratic, consistent with its majority-Latino composition centered in western Phoenix and downtown areas. Late developments such as unexpected primary turnout shifts or major candidate withdrawals could introduce limited volatility before November, though structural factors continue to constrain Republican prospects.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$14,717Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The strong Democratic lean of Arizona's 3rd congressional district, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voter Index rating of D+22 and the incumbent's 2024 general election margin exceeding 40 points, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Yassamin Ansari, the sitting representative first elected in 2024, faces limited primary opposition ahead of the July 21 contest and enters the general election against minimal Republican challengers, including write-in candidates. Nonpartisan race ratings classify the seat as solid or safe Democratic, consistent with its majority-Latino composition centered in western Phoenix and downtown areas. Late developments such as unexpected primary turnout shifts or major candidate withdrawals could introduce limited volatility before November, though structural factors continue to constrain Republican prospects.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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