Florida's 12th congressional district features a Republican partisan voting index around R+7 and supported Donald Trump by 14 points in 2024, underpinning the Republican Party's strong position in the 2026 House race. Incumbent Gus Bilirakis, who secured 71 percent of the vote in his most recent general election, filed for re-election and faces limited primary opposition, while Democratic primary contenders Darren McAuley and Kimberly Overman have yet to demonstrate broad district appeal ahead of the August 18 primary. The November 3 general election timeline and absence of major shifts in voter turnout patterns or candidate fundraising further reinforce trader consensus around Republican dominance in this Tampa Bay-area seat.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur du FL-12 House Election
Vainqueur du FL-12 House Election
$27,994 Vol.
$27,994 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
81%
Parti démocrate
19%
$27,994 Vol.
$27,994 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
$10,781 Vol.
81%
Parti démocrate
$17,213 Vol.
19%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 12th congressional district features a Republican partisan voting index around R+7 and supported Donald Trump by 14 points in 2024, underpinning the Republican Party's strong position in the 2026 House race. Incumbent Gus Bilirakis, who secured 71 percent of the vote in his most recent general election, filed for re-election and faces limited primary opposition, while Democratic primary contenders Darren McAuley and Kimberly Overman have yet to demonstrate broad district appeal ahead of the August 18 primary. The November 3 general election timeline and absence of major shifts in voter turnout patterns or candidate fundraising further reinforce trader consensus around Republican dominance in this Tampa Bay-area seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ET
Volume
$27,994Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 12th congressional district features a Republican partisan voting index around R+7 and supported Donald Trump by 14 points in 2024, underpinning the Republican Party's strong position in the 2026 House race. Incumbent Gus Bilirakis, who secured 71 percent of the vote in his most recent general election, filed for re-election and faces limited primary opposition, while Democratic primary contenders Darren McAuley and Kimberly Overman have yet to demonstrate broad district appeal ahead of the August 18 primary. The November 3 general election timeline and absence of major shifts in voter turnout patterns or candidate fundraising further reinforce trader consensus around Republican dominance in this Tampa Bay-area seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$27,994Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 12th congressional district features a Republican partisan voting index around R+7 and supported Donald Trump by 14 points in 2024, underpinning the Republican Party's strong position in the 2026 House race. Incumbent Gus Bilirakis, who secured 71 percent of the vote in his most recent general election, filed for re-election and faces limited primary opposition, while Democratic primary contenders Darren McAuley and Kimberly Overman have yet to demonstrate broad district appeal ahead of the August 18 primary. The November 3 general election timeline and absence of major shifts in voter turnout patterns or candidate fundraising further reinforce trader consensus around Republican dominance in this Tampa Bay-area seat.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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