Incumbent Republican Gus Bilirakis holds a commanding position in Florida’s 12th congressional district heading into the November 3, 2026, general election. The district’s post-redistricting partisan lean, reflected in recent presidential results and a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+7, underpins trader consensus around his strong reelection odds. Bilirakis, serving since 2007 with family ties to the seat, advanced unopposed through the Republican primary while maintaining a substantial fundraising advantage and broad party support. Democratic nominee Kimberly Overman, a former Hillsborough County commissioner who narrowly won her August primary, faces structural headwinds in a district where Republicans have historically prevailed by double-digit margins. Late developments such as national shifts in voter turnout or unexpected campaign events could narrow the gap, though the current positioning indicates limited realistic paths for an upset.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur du FL-12 House Election
Vainqueur du FL-12 House Election
$57,307 Vol.
$57,307 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Gus Bilirakis (R)
93%
Kimberly Overman (D)
9%
$57,307 Vol.
$57,307 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Gus Bilirakis (R)
$23,211 Vol.
93%
Kimberly Overman (D)
$34,096 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Gus Bilirakis holds a commanding position in Florida’s 12th congressional district heading into the November 3, 2026, general election. The district’s post-redistricting partisan lean, reflected in recent presidential results and a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+7, underpins trader consensus around his strong reelection odds. Bilirakis, serving since 2007 with family ties to the seat, advanced unopposed through the Republican primary while maintaining a substantial fundraising advantage and broad party support. Democratic nominee Kimberly Overman, a former Hillsborough County commissioner who narrowly won her August primary, faces structural headwinds in a district where Republicans have historically prevailed by double-digit margins. Late developments such as national shifts in voter turnout or unexpected campaign events could narrow the gap, though the current positioning indicates limited realistic paths for an upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ET
Volume
$57,307Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Gus Bilirakis holds a commanding position in Florida’s 12th congressional district heading into the November 3, 2026, general election. The district’s post-redistricting partisan lean, reflected in recent presidential results and a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+7, underpins trader consensus around his strong reelection odds. Bilirakis, serving since 2007 with family ties to the seat, advanced unopposed through the Republican primary while maintaining a substantial fundraising advantage and broad party support. Democratic nominee Kimberly Overman, a former Hillsborough County commissioner who narrowly won her August primary, faces structural headwinds in a district where Republicans have historically prevailed by double-digit margins. Late developments such as national shifts in voter turnout or unexpected campaign events could narrow the gap, though the current positioning indicates limited realistic paths for an upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$57,307Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Gus Bilirakis holds a commanding position in Florida’s 12th congressional district heading into the November 3, 2026, general election. The district’s post-redistricting partisan lean, reflected in recent presidential results and a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+7, underpins trader consensus around his strong reelection odds. Bilirakis, serving since 2007 with family ties to the seat, advanced unopposed through the Republican primary while maintaining a substantial fundraising advantage and broad party support. Democratic nominee Kimberly Overman, a former Hillsborough County commissioner who narrowly won her August primary, faces structural headwinds in a district where Republicans have historically prevailed by double-digit margins. Late developments such as national shifts in voter turnout or unexpected campaign events could narrow the gap, though the current positioning indicates limited realistic paths for an upset.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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