Florida's 12th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat heading into the November 2026 general election, with incumbent Gus Bilirakis positioned to retain the seat after redistricting strengthened the GOP tilt to roughly Trump +14 margins. The August 18 primaries, just weeks away, feature limited Democratic competition between Darren McAuley and Kimberly Overman, while Bilirakis faces little primary opposition. Cook Political Report rates the race Solid R, reflecting the district's consistent Republican voting patterns, strong fundraising edge for the incumbent, and absence of major national or local developments shifting the balance. Trader consensus at 82% for Republicans captures this structural advantage and low likelihood of an upset, though the 18% Democratic share accounts for any late primary surprises or unusually high turnout.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur du FL-12 House Election
Vainqueur du FL-12 House Election
$41,384 Vol.
$41,384 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
82%
Parti démocrate
18%
$41,384 Vol.
$41,384 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
$15,473 Vol.
82%
Parti démocrate
$25,911 Vol.
18%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 12th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat heading into the November 2026 general election, with incumbent Gus Bilirakis positioned to retain the seat after redistricting strengthened the GOP tilt to roughly Trump +14 margins. The August 18 primaries, just weeks away, feature limited Democratic competition between Darren McAuley and Kimberly Overman, while Bilirakis faces little primary opposition. Cook Political Report rates the race Solid R, reflecting the district's consistent Republican voting patterns, strong fundraising edge for the incumbent, and absence of major national or local developments shifting the balance. Trader consensus at 82% for Republicans captures this structural advantage and low likelihood of an upset, though the 18% Democratic share accounts for any late primary surprises or unusually high turnout.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ET
Volume
$41,384Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 12th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat heading into the November 2026 general election, with incumbent Gus Bilirakis positioned to retain the seat after redistricting strengthened the GOP tilt to roughly Trump +14 margins. The August 18 primaries, just weeks away, feature limited Democratic competition between Darren McAuley and Kimberly Overman, while Bilirakis faces little primary opposition. Cook Political Report rates the race Solid R, reflecting the district's consistent Republican voting patterns, strong fundraising edge for the incumbent, and absence of major national or local developments shifting the balance. Trader consensus at 82% for Republicans captures this structural advantage and low likelihood of an upset, though the 18% Democratic share accounts for any late primary surprises or unusually high turnout.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$41,384Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 12th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat heading into the November 2026 general election, with incumbent Gus Bilirakis positioned to retain the seat after redistricting strengthened the GOP tilt to roughly Trump +14 margins. The August 18 primaries, just weeks away, feature limited Democratic competition between Darren McAuley and Kimberly Overman, while Bilirakis faces little primary opposition. Cook Political Report rates the race Solid R, reflecting the district's consistent Republican voting patterns, strong fundraising edge for the incumbent, and absence of major national or local developments shifting the balance. Trader consensus at 82% for Republicans captures this structural advantage and low likelihood of an upset, though the 18% Democratic share accounts for any late primary surprises or unusually high turnout.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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