Incumbent Democratic Representative Nanette Barragán's strong performance in the June 2026 top-two primary, where she captured roughly 77 percent of the vote against Republican Genevieve Angel, underscores the district's entrenched Democratic advantage. California's 44th congressional district, covering parts of South Los Angeles and the Harbor area, carries a partisan voter index around D+20 and has been rated Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic by nonpartisan analysts ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus at 97.9 percent for the Democratic Party reflects the limited Republican infrastructure, modest opposition fundraising, and historical voting patterns in this safely blue seat. A Republican upset would require an unprecedented swing driven by late-breaking events such as a major scandal involving the incumbent or an extraordinary national political realignment.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourCA-44 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
CA-44 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
$46,663 Vol.
$46,663 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
98%
Parti républicain
2%
$46,663 Vol.
$46,663 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
$21,673 Vol.
98%
Parti républicain
$24,990 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-44 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Representative Nanette Barragán's strong performance in the June 2026 top-two primary, where she captured roughly 77 percent of the vote against Republican Genevieve Angel, underscores the district's entrenched Democratic advantage. California's 44th congressional district, covering parts of South Los Angeles and the Harbor area, carries a partisan voter index around D+20 and has been rated Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic by nonpartisan analysts ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus at 97.9 percent for the Democratic Party reflects the limited Republican infrastructure, modest opposition fundraising, and historical voting patterns in this safely blue seat. A Republican upset would require an unprecedented swing driven by late-breaking events such as a major scandal involving the incumbent or an extraordinary national political realignment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-44 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 10:29 AM ET
Volume
$46,663Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 10:29 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-44 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Representative Nanette Barragán's strong performance in the June 2026 top-two primary, where she captured roughly 77 percent of the vote against Republican Genevieve Angel, underscores the district's entrenched Democratic advantage. California's 44th congressional district, covering parts of South Los Angeles and the Harbor area, carries a partisan voter index around D+20 and has been rated Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic by nonpartisan analysts ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus at 97.9 percent for the Democratic Party reflects the limited Republican infrastructure, modest opposition fundraising, and historical voting patterns in this safely blue seat. A Republican upset would require an unprecedented swing driven by late-breaking events such as a major scandal involving the incumbent or an extraordinary national political realignment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-44 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$46,663Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 10:29 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Representative Nanette Barragán's strong performance in the June 2026 top-two primary, where she captured roughly 77 percent of the vote against Republican Genevieve Angel, underscores the district's entrenched Democratic advantage. California's 44th congressional district, covering parts of South Los Angeles and the Harbor area, carries a partisan voter index around D+20 and has been rated Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic by nonpartisan analysts ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus at 97.9 percent for the Democratic Party reflects the limited Republican infrastructure, modest opposition fundraising, and historical voting patterns in this safely blue seat. A Republican upset would require an unprecedented swing driven by late-breaking events such as a major scandal involving the incumbent or an extraordinary national political realignment.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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