Robert Garcia holds a commanding lead in the California 42nd congressional district race, reflecting the district’s strong Democratic tilt and his position as incumbent. Redistricting incorporated Long Beach and surrounding areas with a Cook PVI of D+18, and Garcia secured 56.5% in the June 2026 top-two primary to advance against Republican Brian Burley. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with Garcia’s prior general election margins above 35 points. Burley, a Huntington Beach school board member also seeking local office, has trailed significantly in fundraising and visibility. The general election on November 3, 2026, could shift only under extraordinary circumstances such as a late national partisan surge or unforeseen candidate developments.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre CA-42
Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre CA-42
$24,773 Vol.
$24,773 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Robert Garcia (D)
95%
Brian Burley (R)
6%
$24,773 Vol.
$24,773 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Robert Garcia (D)
$13,124 Vol.
95%
Brian Burley (R)
$11,649 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-42 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Robert Garcia holds a commanding lead in the California 42nd congressional district race, reflecting the district’s strong Democratic tilt and his position as incumbent. Redistricting incorporated Long Beach and surrounding areas with a Cook PVI of D+18, and Garcia secured 56.5% in the June 2026 top-two primary to advance against Republican Brian Burley. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with Garcia’s prior general election margins above 35 points. Burley, a Huntington Beach school board member also seeking local office, has trailed significantly in fundraising and visibility. The general election on November 3, 2026, could shift only under extraordinary circumstances such as a late national partisan surge or unforeseen candidate developments.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-42 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 10:29 AM ET
Volume
$24,773Date de fin
4 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 10:29 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-42 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Robert Garcia holds a commanding lead in the California 42nd congressional district race, reflecting the district’s strong Democratic tilt and his position as incumbent. Redistricting incorporated Long Beach and surrounding areas with a Cook PVI of D+18, and Garcia secured 56.5% in the June 2026 top-two primary to advance against Republican Brian Burley. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with Garcia’s prior general election margins above 35 points. Burley, a Huntington Beach school board member also seeking local office, has trailed significantly in fundraising and visibility. The general election on November 3, 2026, could shift only under extraordinary circumstances such as a late national partisan surge or unforeseen candidate developments.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-42 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$24,773Date de fin
4 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 10:29 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...Robert Garcia holds a commanding lead in the California 42nd congressional district race, reflecting the district’s strong Democratic tilt and his position as incumbent. Redistricting incorporated Long Beach and surrounding areas with a Cook PVI of D+18, and Garcia secured 56.5% in the June 2026 top-two primary to advance against Republican Brian Burley. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with Garcia’s prior general election margins above 35 points. Burley, a Huntington Beach school board member also seeking local office, has trailed significantly in fundraising and visibility. The general election on November 3, 2026, could shift only under extraordinary circumstances such as a late national partisan surge or unforeseen candidate developments.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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