**The CA-07 general election on November 3, 2026, pits two Democrats—incumbent Doris Matsui and Sacramento City Councilmember Mai Vang—against each other after both advanced from the June 2 top-two primary.** Vang received 31.2% and Matsui 29.1%, ahead of the leading Republicans at 21.9% and 15.1%. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic due to the district’s partisan composition (Cook PVI D+7) and the absence of any Republican on the November ballot following California’s redistricting under Proposition 50. This structure drives the 96.5% trader consensus on a Democratic winner, reflecting the certainty that the victor will be from that party. A Republican outcome would require an unprecedented development, such as candidate disqualification or withdrawal after the primary, which remains highly improbable given the confirmed general-election matchup and the district’s voting history.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourCA-07 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
CA-07 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
$12,782 Vol.
$12,782 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
96%
Parti républicain
2%
$12,782 Vol.
$12,782 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
$6,634 Vol.
96%
Parti républicain
$6,147 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**The CA-07 general election on November 3, 2026, pits two Democrats—incumbent Doris Matsui and Sacramento City Councilmember Mai Vang—against each other after both advanced from the June 2 top-two primary.**
Vang received 31.2% and Matsui 29.1%, ahead of the leading Republicans at 21.9% and 15.1%. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic due to the district’s partisan composition (Cook PVI D+7) and the absence of any Republican on the November ballot following California’s redistricting under Proposition 50.
This structure drives the 96.5% trader consensus on a Democratic winner, reflecting the certainty that the victor will be from that party. A Republican outcome would require an unprecedented development, such as candidate disqualification or withdrawal after the primary, which remains highly improbable given the confirmed general-election matchup and the district’s voting history.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
Volume
$12,782Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**The CA-07 general election on November 3, 2026, pits two Democrats—incumbent Doris Matsui and Sacramento City Councilmember Mai Vang—against each other after both advanced from the June 2 top-two primary.**
Vang received 31.2% and Matsui 29.1%, ahead of the leading Republicans at 21.9% and 15.1%. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic due to the district’s partisan composition (Cook PVI D+7) and the absence of any Republican on the November ballot following California’s redistricting under Proposition 50.
This structure drives the 96.5% trader consensus on a Democratic winner, reflecting the certainty that the victor will be from that party. A Republican outcome would require an unprecedented development, such as candidate disqualification or withdrawal after the primary, which remains highly improbable given the confirmed general-election matchup and the district’s voting history.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$12,782Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...**The CA-07 general election on November 3, 2026, pits two Democrats—incumbent Doris Matsui and Sacramento City Councilmember Mai Vang—against each other after both advanced from the June 2 top-two primary.** Vang received 31.2% and Matsui 29.1%, ahead of the leading Republicans at 21.9% and 15.1%. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic due to the district’s partisan composition (Cook PVI D+7) and the absence of any Republican on the November ballot following California’s redistricting under Proposition 50. This structure drives the 96.5% trader consensus on a Democratic winner, reflecting the certainty that the victor will be from that party. A Republican outcome would require an unprecedented development, such as candidate disqualification or withdrawal after the primary, which remains highly improbable given the confirmed general-election matchup and the district’s voting history.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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