Troy Downing, the Republican incumbent in Montana’s 2nd Congressional District, secured his party’s nomination without opposition in the June 2 primary, while Democrat Brian Miller advanced from a low-profile contest. The district’s strong Republican lean, reflected in consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles and ratings of Solid or Safe Republican from nonpartisan forecasters, underpins trader consensus that the GOP nominee will prevail in November. Miller’s limited fundraising and the district’s partisan voting index further support the wide gap in implied probabilities. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unanticipated national shift could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourMT-02 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
MT-02 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
$11,400 Vol.
$11,400 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
92%
Parti démocrate
7%
$11,400 Vol.
$11,400 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
$8,247 Vol.
92%
Parti démocrate
$3,153 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Troy Downing, the Republican incumbent in Montana’s 2nd Congressional District, secured his party’s nomination without opposition in the June 2 primary, while Democrat Brian Miller advanced from a low-profile contest. The district’s strong Republican lean, reflected in consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles and ratings of Solid or Safe Republican from nonpartisan forecasters, underpins trader consensus that the GOP nominee will prevail in November. Miller’s limited fundraising and the district’s partisan voting index further support the wide gap in implied probabilities. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unanticipated national shift could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volume
$11,400Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Troy Downing, the Republican incumbent in Montana’s 2nd Congressional District, secured his party’s nomination without opposition in the June 2 primary, while Democrat Brian Miller advanced from a low-profile contest. The district’s strong Republican lean, reflected in consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles and ratings of Solid or Safe Republican from nonpartisan forecasters, underpins trader consensus that the GOP nominee will prevail in November. Miller’s limited fundraising and the district’s partisan voting index further support the wide gap in implied probabilities. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unanticipated national shift could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$11,400Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Troy Downing, the Republican incumbent in Montana’s 2nd Congressional District, secured his party’s nomination without opposition in the June 2 primary, while Democrat Brian Miller advanced from a low-profile contest. The district’s strong Republican lean, reflected in consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles and ratings of Solid or Safe Republican from nonpartisan forecasters, underpins trader consensus that the GOP nominee will prevail in November. Miller’s limited fundraising and the district’s partisan voting index further support the wide gap in implied probabilities. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unanticipated national shift could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes