California's 30th congressional district carries a D+21 partisan voter index, placing it among the state's most reliably Democratic seats. Incumbent Democrat Laura Friedman secured the top spot in the June 2, 2026 top-two primary with 52.7 percent of the vote and advanced alongside Republican Scott Meyers. Nonpartisan analysts from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Decision Desk HQ rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus at 95.8 percent for the Democratic nominee reflects this structural advantage, limited Republican fundraising and name recognition, and the absence of recent developments that would alter the district's underlying electoral math. A significant late-cycle scandal, health event, or national political realignment would be required to meaningfully narrow the gap.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre CA-30
Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre CA-30
$24,267 Vol.
$24,267 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
95%
Parti républicain
5%
$24,267 Vol.
$24,267 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
$13,067 Vol.
95%
Parti républicain
$11,200 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 30th congressional district carries a D+21 partisan voter index, placing it among the state's most reliably Democratic seats. Incumbent Democrat Laura Friedman secured the top spot in the June 2, 2026 top-two primary with 52.7 percent of the vote and advanced alongside Republican Scott Meyers. Nonpartisan analysts from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Decision Desk HQ rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus at 95.8 percent for the Democratic nominee reflects this structural advantage, limited Republican fundraising and name recognition, and the absence of recent developments that would alter the district's underlying electoral math. A significant late-cycle scandal, health event, or national political realignment would be required to meaningfully narrow the gap.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
Volume
$24,267Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 30th congressional district carries a D+21 partisan voter index, placing it among the state's most reliably Democratic seats. Incumbent Democrat Laura Friedman secured the top spot in the June 2, 2026 top-two primary with 52.7 percent of the vote and advanced alongside Republican Scott Meyers. Nonpartisan analysts from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Decision Desk HQ rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus at 95.8 percent for the Democratic nominee reflects this structural advantage, limited Republican fundraising and name recognition, and the absence of recent developments that would alter the district's underlying electoral math. A significant late-cycle scandal, health event, or national political realignment would be required to meaningfully narrow the gap.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$24,267Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...California's 30th congressional district carries a D+21 partisan voter index, placing it among the state's most reliably Democratic seats. Incumbent Democrat Laura Friedman secured the top spot in the June 2, 2026 top-two primary with 52.7 percent of the vote and advanced alongside Republican Scott Meyers. Nonpartisan analysts from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Decision Desk HQ rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus at 95.8 percent for the Democratic nominee reflects this structural advantage, limited Republican fundraising and name recognition, and the absence of recent developments that would alter the district's underlying electoral math. A significant late-cycle scandal, health event, or national political realignment would be required to meaningfully narrow the gap.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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