Louisiana’s 2nd congressional district, anchored in New Orleans and extending to inner Baton Rouge, has long favored Democratic candidates due to its demographics and consistent presidential voting patterns. Incumbent Troy Carter holds the seat after winning outright in the 2024 jungle primary and securing roughly 60 percent in the general election, with forecasters rating the race Safe or Solid Democratic. Limited Republican recruitment and modest fundraising from challengers have reinforced trader consensus around a Democratic hold. A primary contest featuring Carter and Renada Collins remains the main near-term variable, though it does not alter the broader partisan tilt. Potential shifts could arise from successful legal challenges to current district lines or an unforeseen scandal, yet historical margins and structural advantages keep the implied probability heavily weighted toward Democrats.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLA-02 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
LA-02 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
$60,994 Vol.
$60,994 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
95%
Parti républicain
3%
$60,994 Vol.
$60,994 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
$34,748 Vol.
95%
Parti républicain
$26,246 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Louisiana’s 2nd congressional district, anchored in New Orleans and extending to inner Baton Rouge, has long favored Democratic candidates due to its demographics and consistent presidential voting patterns. Incumbent Troy Carter holds the seat after winning outright in the 2024 jungle primary and securing roughly 60 percent in the general election, with forecasters rating the race Safe or Solid Democratic. Limited Republican recruitment and modest fundraising from challengers have reinforced trader consensus around a Democratic hold. A primary contest featuring Carter and Renada Collins remains the main near-term variable, though it does not alter the broader partisan tilt. Potential shifts could arise from successful legal challenges to current district lines or an unforeseen scandal, yet historical margins and structural advantages keep the implied probability heavily weighted toward Democrats.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$60,994Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Louisiana’s 2nd congressional district, anchored in New Orleans and extending to inner Baton Rouge, has long favored Democratic candidates due to its demographics and consistent presidential voting patterns. Incumbent Troy Carter holds the seat after winning outright in the 2024 jungle primary and securing roughly 60 percent in the general election, with forecasters rating the race Safe or Solid Democratic. Limited Republican recruitment and modest fundraising from challengers have reinforced trader consensus around a Democratic hold. A primary contest featuring Carter and Renada Collins remains the main near-term variable, though it does not alter the broader partisan tilt. Potential shifts could arise from successful legal challenges to current district lines or an unforeseen scandal, yet historical margins and structural advantages keep the implied probability heavily weighted toward Democrats.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$60,994Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Louisiana’s 2nd congressional district, anchored in New Orleans and extending to inner Baton Rouge, has long favored Democratic candidates due to its demographics and consistent presidential voting patterns. Incumbent Troy Carter holds the seat after winning outright in the 2024 jungle primary and securing roughly 60 percent in the general election, with forecasters rating the race Safe or Solid Democratic. Limited Republican recruitment and modest fundraising from challengers have reinforced trader consensus around a Democratic hold. A primary contest featuring Carter and Renada Collins remains the main near-term variable, though it does not alter the broader partisan tilt. Potential shifts could arise from successful legal challenges to current district lines or an unforeseen scandal, yet historical margins and structural advantages keep the implied probability heavily weighted toward Democrats.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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