Incumbent Democrat Scott Peters advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary in California's 50th congressional district with roughly 48% of the vote against Republican Steve Cohen's 40%, reflecting Peters' established fundraising advantage and name recognition in a San Diego-area seat. Forecasters across outlets rate the November general election as solidly or safely Democratic, consistent with the district's D+10 partisan voter index and Peters' prior 64% victory margin. Recent redistricting under Proposition 50 produced only modest boundary shifts that preserved the Democratic tilt. Trader consensus at 96% for Peters aligns with these structural factors, though late developments such as major scandals, health events, or sharp national swings could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre CA-50
Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre CA-50
$64,551 Vol.
$64,551 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Scott Peters (D)
96%
Steve Cohen (R)
5%
$64,551 Vol.
$64,551 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Scott Peters (D)
$38,797 Vol.
96%
Steve Cohen (R)
$25,754 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-50 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Scott Peters advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary in California's 50th congressional district with roughly 48% of the vote against Republican Steve Cohen's 40%, reflecting Peters' established fundraising advantage and name recognition in a San Diego-area seat. Forecasters across outlets rate the November general election as solidly or safely Democratic, consistent with the district's D+10 partisan voter index and Peters' prior 64% victory margin. Recent redistricting under Proposition 50 produced only modest boundary shifts that preserved the Democratic tilt. Trader consensus at 96% for Peters aligns with these structural factors, though late developments such as major scandals, health events, or sharp national swings could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-50 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Volume
$64,551Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-50 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Scott Peters advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary in California's 50th congressional district with roughly 48% of the vote against Republican Steve Cohen's 40%, reflecting Peters' established fundraising advantage and name recognition in a San Diego-area seat. Forecasters across outlets rate the November general election as solidly or safely Democratic, consistent with the district's D+10 partisan voter index and Peters' prior 64% victory margin. Recent redistricting under Proposition 50 produced only modest boundary shifts that preserved the Democratic tilt. Trader consensus at 96% for Peters aligns with these structural factors, though late developments such as major scandals, health events, or sharp national swings could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-50 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$64,551Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Scott Peters advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary in California's 50th congressional district with roughly 48% of the vote against Republican Steve Cohen's 40%, reflecting Peters' established fundraising advantage and name recognition in a San Diego-area seat. Forecasters across outlets rate the November general election as solidly or safely Democratic, consistent with the district's D+10 partisan voter index and Peters' prior 64% victory margin. Recent redistricting under Proposition 50 produced only modest boundary shifts that preserved the Democratic tilt. Trader consensus at 96% for Peters aligns with these structural factors, though late developments such as major scandals, health events, or sharp national swings could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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