Connecticut's 4th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+13 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent performance in recent presidential and congressional contests. Incumbent Democrat Jim Himes, seeking another term, faces only a minor primary challenge ahead of the August 11 vote, while Republican primary contenders remain low-profile with limited fundraising visibility. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball all classify the seat as safe or solid Democratic. Traders price in limited near-term risk from scheduled primaries or the November general, though a major candidate withdrawal, unexpected scandal, or unusually strong national Republican performance could still narrow the gap before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourCT-04 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
CT-04 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
$33,995 Vol.
$33,995 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
94%
Parti républicain
6%
$33,995 Vol.
$33,995 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
$14,042 Vol.
94%
Parti républicain
$19,953 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Connecticut's 4th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+13 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent performance in recent presidential and congressional contests. Incumbent Democrat Jim Himes, seeking another term, faces only a minor primary challenge ahead of the August 11 vote, while Republican primary contenders remain low-profile with limited fundraising visibility. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball all classify the seat as safe or solid Democratic. Traders price in limited near-term risk from scheduled primaries or the November general, though a major candidate withdrawal, unexpected scandal, or unusually strong national Republican performance could still narrow the gap before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Volume
$33,995Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Connecticut's 4th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+13 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent performance in recent presidential and congressional contests. Incumbent Democrat Jim Himes, seeking another term, faces only a minor primary challenge ahead of the August 11 vote, while Republican primary contenders remain low-profile with limited fundraising visibility. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball all classify the seat as safe or solid Democratic. Traders price in limited near-term risk from scheduled primaries or the November general, though a major candidate withdrawal, unexpected scandal, or unusually strong national Republican performance could still narrow the gap before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$33,995Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Connecticut's 4th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+13 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent performance in recent presidential and congressional contests. Incumbent Democrat Jim Himes, seeking another term, faces only a minor primary challenge ahead of the August 11 vote, while Republican primary contenders remain low-profile with limited fundraising visibility. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball all classify the seat as safe or solid Democratic. Traders price in limited near-term risk from scheduled primaries or the November general, though a major candidate withdrawal, unexpected scandal, or unusually strong national Republican performance could still narrow the gap before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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