Incumbent Democrat Jim Himes holds a commanding position in Connecticut’s 4th district due to its consistent Democratic lean, including strong support in areas like Stamford and Bridgeport, combined with his long tenure since 2009 and prior 61% general election margin. The district has not elected a Republican since 2006, and early fundraising plus primary dynamics favor the Democratic nominee. Trader consensus reflects this structural advantage ahead of the August primaries and November general election. A realistic shift would require an unusually strong Republican national environment, an unexpected Democratic primary upset, or late developments such as a major candidate withdrawal or scandal that alters turnout patterns.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourCT-04 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
CT-04 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
$33,995 Vol.
$33,995 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
94%
Parti républicain
6%
$33,995 Vol.
$33,995 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
$14,042 Vol.
94%
Parti républicain
$19,953 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Jim Himes holds a commanding position in Connecticut’s 4th district due to its consistent Democratic lean, including strong support in areas like Stamford and Bridgeport, combined with his long tenure since 2009 and prior 61% general election margin. The district has not elected a Republican since 2006, and early fundraising plus primary dynamics favor the Democratic nominee. Trader consensus reflects this structural advantage ahead of the August primaries and November general election. A realistic shift would require an unusually strong Republican national environment, an unexpected Democratic primary upset, or late developments such as a major candidate withdrawal or scandal that alters turnout patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Volume
$33,995Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Jim Himes holds a commanding position in Connecticut’s 4th district due to its consistent Democratic lean, including strong support in areas like Stamford and Bridgeport, combined with his long tenure since 2009 and prior 61% general election margin. The district has not elected a Republican since 2006, and early fundraising plus primary dynamics favor the Democratic nominee. Trader consensus reflects this structural advantage ahead of the August primaries and November general election. A realistic shift would require an unusually strong Republican national environment, an unexpected Democratic primary upset, or late developments such as a major candidate withdrawal or scandal that alters turnout patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$33,995Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Jim Himes holds a commanding position in Connecticut’s 4th district due to its consistent Democratic lean, including strong support in areas like Stamford and Bridgeport, combined with his long tenure since 2009 and prior 61% general election margin. The district has not elected a Republican since 2006, and early fundraising plus primary dynamics favor the Democratic nominee. Trader consensus reflects this structural advantage ahead of the August primaries and November general election. A realistic shift would require an unusually strong Republican national environment, an unexpected Democratic primary upset, or late developments such as a major candidate withdrawal or scandal that alters turnout patterns.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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