Incumbent Democrat Jahana Hayes faces Republican Chris Shea in Connecticut’s 5th congressional district on November 3, 2026. The district’s D+6 partisan lean, Hayes’s prior victories including a 2024 margin of roughly seven points, and consistent expert ratings from Cook, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections as Solid or Likely Democratic underpin trader consensus around a 95% implied probability for the Democratic nominee. Hayes advanced unopposed in the Democratic primary, while Shea secured the Republican nomination after defeating a lesser-known challenger. Limited fundraising and name recognition for the Republican candidate, combined with the absence of major recent polling shifts or national tailwinds, reinforce the market’s assessment. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or an unusually strong Republican midterm environment could still alter the outcome before election day.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre CT-05
Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre CT-05
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
95%
Parti républicain
4%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
$5,328 Vol.
95%
Parti républicain
$3,497 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Jahana Hayes faces Republican Chris Shea in Connecticut’s 5th congressional district on November 3, 2026. The district’s D+6 partisan lean, Hayes’s prior victories including a 2024 margin of roughly seven points, and consistent expert ratings from Cook, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections as Solid or Likely Democratic underpin trader consensus around a 95% implied probability for the Democratic nominee. Hayes advanced unopposed in the Democratic primary, while Shea secured the Republican nomination after defeating a lesser-known challenger. Limited fundraising and name recognition for the Republican candidate, combined with the absence of major recent polling shifts or national tailwinds, reinforce the market’s assessment. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or an unusually strong Republican midterm environment could still alter the outcome before election day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Dec 16, 2025, 11:47 AM ET
Volume
$8,824Date de fin
4 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 16, 2025, 11:47 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Jahana Hayes faces Republican Chris Shea in Connecticut’s 5th congressional district on November 3, 2026. The district’s D+6 partisan lean, Hayes’s prior victories including a 2024 margin of roughly seven points, and consistent expert ratings from Cook, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections as Solid or Likely Democratic underpin trader consensus around a 95% implied probability for the Democratic nominee. Hayes advanced unopposed in the Democratic primary, while Shea secured the Republican nomination after defeating a lesser-known challenger. Limited fundraising and name recognition for the Republican candidate, combined with the absence of major recent polling shifts or national tailwinds, reinforce the market’s assessment. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or an unusually strong Republican midterm environment could still alter the outcome before election day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$8,824Date de fin
4 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 16, 2025, 11:47 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Jahana Hayes faces Republican Chris Shea in Connecticut’s 5th congressional district on November 3, 2026. The district’s D+6 partisan lean, Hayes’s prior victories including a 2024 margin of roughly seven points, and consistent expert ratings from Cook, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections as Solid or Likely Democratic underpin trader consensus around a 95% implied probability for the Democratic nominee. Hayes advanced unopposed in the Democratic primary, while Shea secured the Republican nomination after defeating a lesser-known challenger. Limited fundraising and name recognition for the Republican candidate, combined with the absence of major recent polling shifts or national tailwinds, reinforce the market’s assessment. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or an unusually strong Republican midterm environment could still alter the outcome before election day.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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