Incumbent Democrat Joe Courtney, first elected in 2006 and consistently outperforming the district's D+4 partisan lean, secured his party's nomination at the May 2026 convention after challenger Kyle Gauck fell short of the primary threshold. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the August primaries and November general election. Limited Republican primary activity and modest fundraising on that side have reinforced trader consensus around the Democratic nominee. A significant national partisan swing, major scandal, or unexpected retirement could still alter the outcome, though historical patterns and current structural advantages make such shifts unlikely.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourCT-02 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
CT-02 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
93%
Parti républicain
8%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
$2,257 Vol.
93%
Parti républicain
$2,782 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Joe Courtney, first elected in 2006 and consistently outperforming the district's D+4 partisan lean, secured his party's nomination at the May 2026 convention after challenger Kyle Gauck fell short of the primary threshold. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the August primaries and November general election. Limited Republican primary activity and modest fundraising on that side have reinforced trader consensus around the Democratic nominee. A significant national partisan swing, major scandal, or unexpected retirement could still alter the outcome, though historical patterns and current structural advantages make such shifts unlikely.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Volume
$5,039Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Joe Courtney, first elected in 2006 and consistently outperforming the district's D+4 partisan lean, secured his party's nomination at the May 2026 convention after challenger Kyle Gauck fell short of the primary threshold. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the August primaries and November general election. Limited Republican primary activity and modest fundraising on that side have reinforced trader consensus around the Democratic nominee. A significant national partisan swing, major scandal, or unexpected retirement could still alter the outcome, though historical patterns and current structural advantages make such shifts unlikely.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$5,039Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Joe Courtney, first elected in 2006 and consistently outperforming the district's D+4 partisan lean, secured his party's nomination at the May 2026 convention after challenger Kyle Gauck fell short of the primary threshold. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the August primaries and November general election. Limited Republican primary activity and modest fundraising on that side have reinforced trader consensus around the Democratic nominee. A significant national partisan swing, major scandal, or unexpected retirement could still alter the outcome, though historical patterns and current structural advantages make such shifts unlikely.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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