Incumbent Democrat Josh Gottheimer holds a commanding position in New Jersey's 5th congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election. The northern New Jersey seat, covering parts of Bergen and Sussex counties, carries a modest Democratic lean reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index, and Gottheimer secured 54.6 percent in 2024. He faced no primary opposition after the June 2026 contest, while Republican nominee Sean Kirrane has limited fundraising and visibility. Forecasters rate the race Solid D or Safe D, consistent with the district's recent voting patterns and the incumbent's substantial campaign resources. A national Republican wave, late scandal, or unusually strong challenger performance could narrow the margin, though structural and resource advantages favor the Democratic nominee.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourNJ-05 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
NJ-05 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
$16,302 Vol.
$16,302 Vol.
4 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
91%
Parti républicain
9%
$16,302 Vol.
$16,302 Vol.
4 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
$14,001 Vol.
91%
Parti républicain
$2,301 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Josh Gottheimer holds a commanding position in New Jersey's 5th congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election. The northern New Jersey seat, covering parts of Bergen and Sussex counties, carries a modest Democratic lean reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index, and Gottheimer secured 54.6 percent in 2024. He faced no primary opposition after the June 2026 contest, while Republican nominee Sean Kirrane has limited fundraising and visibility. Forecasters rate the race Solid D or Safe D, consistent with the district's recent voting patterns and the incumbent's substantial campaign resources. A national Republican wave, late scandal, or unusually strong challenger performance could narrow the margin, though structural and resource advantages favor the Democratic nominee.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ET
Volume
$16,302Date de fin
4 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Josh Gottheimer holds a commanding position in New Jersey's 5th congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election. The northern New Jersey seat, covering parts of Bergen and Sussex counties, carries a modest Democratic lean reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index, and Gottheimer secured 54.6 percent in 2024. He faced no primary opposition after the June 2026 contest, while Republican nominee Sean Kirrane has limited fundraising and visibility. Forecasters rate the race Solid D or Safe D, consistent with the district's recent voting patterns and the incumbent's substantial campaign resources. A national Republican wave, late scandal, or unusually strong challenger performance could narrow the margin, though structural and resource advantages favor the Democratic nominee.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$16,302Date de fin
4 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Josh Gottheimer holds a commanding position in New Jersey's 5th congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election. The northern New Jersey seat, covering parts of Bergen and Sussex counties, carries a modest Democratic lean reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index, and Gottheimer secured 54.6 percent in 2024. He faced no primary opposition after the June 2026 contest, while Republican nominee Sean Kirrane has limited fundraising and visibility. Forecasters rate the race Solid D or Safe D, consistent with the district's recent voting patterns and the incumbent's substantial campaign resources. A national Republican wave, late scandal, or unusually strong challenger performance could narrow the margin, though structural and resource advantages favor the Democratic nominee.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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